2022 US Open Men’s Semifinals Betting Preview

By Hank Blaine

On Friday, Karen Khachanov throws down against Casper Ruud and Carlos Alcaraz takes on France Tiafoe at the US Open Men’s Semifinals. Alcaraz, the highest remaining seed, survived a marathon match versus Jannik Sinner on Wednesday night. Does Alcaraz have enough in the tank to get by Tiafoe? Keep reading for tennis odds, analysis, and free picks for the 2022 US Open Men’s Semifinals.

Betting Predictions for Semifinals of the 2022 US Open Men’s Singles Tournament

  • When: Friday, September 9th
  • Where: Flushing Meadows, New York, NY
  • Streaming: ESPN+

READ MORE: 2022 US Open Women’s Semifinals Betting Preview

Karen Khachanov vs. Casper Ruud

Why is Karen Khachanov a good bet versus Casper Ruud??

Khachanov has had to play great tennis on his way to the semifinals. Jack Draper retired in third round win, but Karen had to pick it up big time versus 12-seed Pablo Carreno Busta and 23-seed Nick Kyrgios.

The match versus Carreno Busta lasted for 5 sets. Khachanov and Kyrgios played 6 sets. Karen has already had to pick up his game during this tournament. So far, every time the bell has rung, Khachanov has answered it.

Why is Casper Ruud a good bet to beat Karen Khachanov?

Ruud has played consistent tennis throughout this tournament. Like Khachanov, Casper has had to pick up his game. In the third round, 29-seed Tommy Paul pushed Ruud in an 8-set marathon.

In his fourth-round match, Ruud beat Corentin Moutet in 5 sets, which is one of the reasons he was a slight underdog versus Matteo Berrettini. But Ruud got past that rival in 3 sets and a tiebreaker set. Casper has played better with each subsequent match.

Karen Khachanov vs. Casper Ruud Final Betting Analysis

Khachanov bested Nick Kyrgios, the player many thought would win the US Open after both Rafael Nadal and Daniil Medvedev bowed out early. Beating Kyrgios is a big deal. But Casper has played lights out throughout. We must give Ruud props for ending Moutet’s tournament run after the 8-set throw down against Paul. Beating Berrettini is a great sign for the higher seed. Ruud wins.

2022 US Open Pick: Casper Ruud -182

Frances Tiafoe vs. Carlos Alcaraz

Why is Frances Tiafoe a good bet versus Carlos Alcaraz?

In this match, Alcaraz will get the press, but Frances Tiafoe has played and beaten the better players. No offense to Jenson Brooksby, Alcaraz’s fourth round opponent, but Tiafoe sent 2-seed Rafael Nadal to the showers in his fourth round victory.

Then in the quarterfinals, Tiafoe beat 9-seed Andrey Rublev. The 24 year old American has beaten Rafa, Rublev, and 14-seed Diego Schwartzman during this tournament. For sure he can beat Alcaraz.

Why is Carlos Alcaraz a good bet to beat Frances Tiafoe?

Although Alcaraz has won 4 singles titles this season, none of the four were major tournaments. In fact, the semifinals at the US Open is the furthest Alcaraz has gone in a major tourney in 2022, which means the 19 year old is hungry, starving, for a major title.

Nothing fazes Alcaraz. Some of the shots he had versus Jannik Sinner were downright breathtaking. Not only that, but Alcaraz should bounce back from the 7-set marathon versus Sinner no problem because he’s 19.

Frances Tiafoe vs. Carlos Alcaraz Final Betting Analysis

Alcaraz is a freak. The dude is the most gifted tennis player on the planet. Sure, he has yet to learn the specific shots to make ala a Novak Djokovic to get his opponent on his heels, but based on pure tennis ability, he’s the best.

But on Friday night, Alcaraz faces a player that can match him in terms of both power and speed. Tiafoe is fast, can make almost as many shots as Carlos, and has power. He’s also got a nice touch around the net and is a driven player.

Eventually, Carlos Alcaraz will end up the world’s number 1. But it feels like it’s too early to crown Carlos. Frances Tiafoe provides the upset win.

2022 US Open Pick: Frances Tiafoe +164

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