2023 ACC Tournament Odds, Preview and Predictions

By Hank Blaine • March 7, 2023

The 2023 ACC Tournament from Greensboro, N.C., opens with three games on Tuesday as No. 12 seed Florida State faces No. 13 Georgia Tech, No. 10 Boston College takes on No. 15 Louisville, and No. 11 Virginia Tech faces No. 14 Notre Dame. The four teams that got a double-bye to the quarterfinals were No. 1 seed Miami, No. 2 Virginia, No. 3 Clemson and No. 4 Duke, with the Dukies as +280 favorites to win it.

Odds to Win the 2023 ACC Tournament

LET'S HOOP.

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— ACC Men's Basketball (@accmbb) March 5, 2023

Duke Blue Devils (+280)
Virginia Cavaliers (+300)
Miami Hurricanes (+340)
Clemson Tigers (+600)
UNC Tar Heels (+600)
NC State Wolfpack (+1200)
Pittsburgh Panthers (+1400)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+4000)
Virginia Tech Hokies (+5000)
Syracuse Orange (+10000)
Florida State Seminoles (+15000)
Boston College Eagles (+35000)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (+35000)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (+50000)
Louisville Cardinals (+100000)

2023 ACC Tournament Schedule

Tuesday’s First Round

2 p.m. – No. 12 Florida State vs. No. 13 Georgia Tech (ACC Network)
4:30 p.m. – No. 10 Boston College vs. No. 15 Louisville (ACC Network)
7 p.m. – No. 11 Virginia Tech vs. No. 14 Notre Dame (ACC Network)

Wednesday’s Second Round

Noon – No. 8 Syracuse vs. No. 9 Wake Forest (ESPN)
2:30 p.m. – No. 5 Pitt vs. Florida State-Georgia Tech winner (ESPN)
7 p.m. – No. 7 North Carolina vs. Boston College-Louisville winner (ESPN2/ESPNU)
9:30 p.m. – No. 6 NC State vs. Virginia Tech-Notre Dame winner (ESPN2/ESPNU)

Thursday’s Quarterfinals

Noon – No. 1 Miami vs. Wednesday Noon winner (ESPN/ESPN2)
2:30 p.m. – No. 4 Duke vs. Wednesday 2:30 p.m. winner (ESPN/ESPN2)
7 p.m. – No. 2 Virginia vs. Wednesday 7 p.m. winner (ESPN/ESPN2)
9:30 p.m. – No. 3 Clemson vs. Wednesday 9:30 p.m. winner (ESPN/ESPN2)

Friday’s Semifinals

7 p.m. – Thursday afternoon winners (ESPN/ESPN2)
9:30 p.m. – Thursday evening winners (ESPN/ESPN2)

Saturday’s Championship

8:30 p.m. – Semifinal winners (ESPN)

Duke Opens As Favorite

The Blue Devils closed the regular season with a 62-57 win at North Carolina on Saturday, their sixth straight win to earn the No. 4 seed in the conference tournament. Duke held North Carolina without a field goal for the final 4:20 of action and Kyle Filipowski poured in a 22-point, 13-rebound double-double in the win as the Blue Devils finished off the 19th season sweep of North Carolina in the rivalry’s ACC history (1953-54).

Filipowski, the only freshman nationally — and one of just eight power conference players overall — averaging at least 15 points and nine rebounds, leads all Division I freshmen with his 14 double-doubles. They are tied for fourth-most all-time by a Duke freshman, matching the number posted by Zion Williamson, Jabari Parker and Gene Banks.

Duke’s current six-game winning streak is a season long. In the streak, Duke is allowing opponents to shoot just .384 from the field, .323 from three and score just 61.7 points. The Blue Devils are 7-2 this season in games decided by five points or less. For the season, Duke has now held 27 of 31 opponents to below their season scoring average. Carolina entered averaging 77.1 points. Duke is now 23-4 in games holding an opponent below its season scoring average. The Blue Devils probably will open the ACC Tournament against No. 5 Pitt on Thursday.

The Rest of the Playing Field

No. 2 seed Virginia is +300 to win the ACC Tournament. UVA technically shared the ACC regular-season title with Miami (+340) but the Canes won the tiebreaker. UVA is 12-0 when scoring 70 or more points in 2022-23 and 156-11 all-time under Tony Bennett. Virginia has won 23 games for the first time since 2019-20 and ninth time under Bennett.

The Hurricanes’ regular season conference crown is their third in program history, joining a 2012-13 outright ACC title and a 1999-2000 Big East shared title. The only other time the Hurricanes earned the No. 1 seed in a conference tournament, regardless of league, was in 2012-13.

Miami finished the regular season 4-0 against top-25 opponents, with each of the four contests a ranked matchup. The Hurricanes’ 24 regular season wins tie for their most in program history, matching the marks in both 2012-13 (24-5) and 2015-16 (24-6). Miami’s 15 ACC victories matched the mark set in 2012-13 (15-3) for the most in a single season in program history.

Clemson (+600) earned the No. 3 seed in the ACC Tournament after finishing the season 14-6 – a new program record for conference wins. It marks only the second time since 1990 that the Tigers have been a No. 3 seed or better. The Tigers last did it in 2008 when they reached the ACC Championship game.

Hunter Tyson had 15 double-doubles this year, tying for eighth-most in a single season with Sharone Wright, 1992-93. Tyson’s 15 double-doubles are the most by a forward in Clemson history since Wright posted 18 in 1993-94.

No. 7 North Carolina (+600) enters the ACC Tournament squarely on the NCAA Tournament bubble and might need to win at least two games in this to get a Big Dance at-large berth after finishing as national runner-up last year.

“I am not adopting the narrative that we need to win four games [to earn an NCAA Tournament bid],” Hubert Davis said. “My focus is on Wednesday. I think it is important to focus on what is real and ahead of us. That is a game at 7 o’clock on Wednesday and that is where my focus is. I feel good about our team. I told them in the locker room that even though I was very sad, that I wasn’t done at all in terms of my confidence in what kind of team that this could become. My confidence in this team is not going to waver at all.”

Heels star Armando Bacot tallied 17 points and 11 rebounds in Saturday’s loss to Duke for his 19th double-double this season and the UNC-record 68th time in his career. He tied NC State’s Ronnie Shavlik for third in ACC history with 68 double-doubles, trailing only Wake Forest’s Tim Duncan (87) and Virginia’s Ralph Sampson (84).

Virginia Tech is the defending ACC Tournament champion but a +5000 longer shot to repeat as the No. 11 seed.

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*All odds stated are subject to change without prior notice.