2025 Valorant Champions Group Stage Betting Preview

By Jeff Stinger • September 8, 2025

The biggest Valorant event of the year is almost here. On September 12, 2025, Paris becomes the center of the esports world as sixteen elite teams clash in the Valorant Champions group stage. With a $2.25 million prize pool and international bragging rights on the line, bettors will have plenty of angles to explore. Here’s a breakdown of all four groups, the outright betting odds, and where the value might lie.

2025 Valorant Champions Group Stage Format and Schedule

The group stage uses the GSL-style double elimination format. Each group has four teams, with the top two advancing to the playoffs. Opening matches begin on September 12 at 6 a.m. PT / 3 p.m. CEST, starting with Group A showdowns: Paper Rex vs. XLG Esports and GIANTX vs. Sentinels.

2025 Valorant Champions Outright Winner Odds

Sportsbooks are already posting futures markets, with Paper Rex sitting as the clear favorite. Converted into American odds, here’s the latest snapshot:

Paper Rex – +175
G2 Esports – +300
Fnatic – +600
Team Liquid – +650
Team Heretics – +900
Sentinels – +900
NRG – +1200
T1, RRQ, DRX, EDward Gaming – +4000
MIBR, Bilibili Gaming – +6600
GIANTX, Dragon Ranger Gaming – +7500
XLG Esports – +10000

Paper Rex at +175 is a short price for a futures bet, but they’ve earned it with their consistency. G2 and Fnatic bring strong EMEA representation at more appealing numbers, while Sentinels sit at +900 for those backing a North American resurgence.

2025 Valorant Champions Group A

Paper Rex (Pacific #1) – The favorite to win not only the group but also the whole tournament. Their aggressive style makes them dangerous in every series.
Sentinels (Americas #3) – Popular and dangerous, but they’ve been streaky. Their opening match vs. GIANTX will likely decide their playoff fate.
GIANTX (EMEA #2) – Tactical, structured, and underrated. A strong candidate to upset the Sentinels and secure second place.
XLG Esports (China #4) – The biggest longshot in the group. A series win would already be a surprise.

Paper Rex should cruise to first. The real bet is on who claims second: GIANTX offers better value than Sentinels if the lines skew toward NA hype.

2025 Valorant Champions Group B

Fnatic (EMEA) – A perennial powerhouse and the safest pick to top the group. Their mix of experience and strategy travels well.
Bilibili Gaming (China) – An unpredictable squad. If their duelist playmakers pop off, they can upset.
RRQ (Pacific) – Known for scrappy, momentum-driven runs. They’re a sleeper if they start hot.
MIBR (Americas) – Flashes of brilliance, but consistency is a question mark.

Fnatic should win the group, but RRQ is the value play to sneak into the playoffs. MIBR and Bilibili are high-variance options—worth a sprinkle if you like upset odds.

2025 Valorant Champions Group C

Team Liquid (EMEA) – Strong fundamentals, plenty of international experience. Clear favorite here.
NRG (Americas) – A streaky but dangerous roster. Capable of stealing series if their star fraggers deliver.
T1 (Pacific) – Pacific powerhouse with the mechanics to scare G2 or Heretics.
Dragon Ranger Gaming (China) – Strong domestically but outmatched here. Clear underdogs.

G2 is the class of the group, but this bracket is brutal. T1 offers excellent underdog value, while Heretics could surprise G2 in a best-of-three. DRG is best left alone unless the odds are massive.

2025 Valorant Champions Group D

G2 Esports (Americas) – Masters champions and one of the most feared lineups at the event. Deservedly priced at +300 outright.
Team Heretics (EMEA) – Winners of EMEA Champions, capable of beating anyone on their best day.
DRX (Pacific) – Always competitive but rarely breaks through late in events.
EDward Gaming (China) – Underrated team with high individual skill. Could surprise against NRG or DRX.

Liquid should emerge, but this group is more open than it looks. DRX and EDG are both live underdogs who can create hedging opportunities if they get rolling.

2025 Valorant Champions Final Thoughts

The 2025 Valorant Champions group stage is shaping up as one of the most competitive in the tournament’s history. Paper Rex (+175) and G2 (+300) enter as favorites, but each group carries its own storyline and betting intrigue:

Group A – PRX dominance, GIANTX vs. Sentinels for survival.
Group B – Fnatic safe, RRQ sneaky value.
Group C – Liquid leads, but DRX and EDG are live dogs.
Group D – G2’s toughest test, with Heretics and T1 ready to strike.

With action starting September 12, now’s the time to lock in your futures and prepare for live betting swings once the matches start.

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