Arkansas vs. Alabama 2021 College Football Week 12 Odds, Preview & Pick

By Hank Blaine • November 18, 2021

One of the most important games in College Football Week 12 happens on Saturday afternoon when the Cincinnati Bearcats welcome the SMU Mustangs. When it comes to the College Football Playoff, Cincinnati remains on the outside, ranked fifth. Will the Bearcats show they deserve a shot to play for the National Championship? Or will the Mustangs end Cincinnati’s dream of a title? Keep reading for NitroBetting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Cincinnati versus SMU.

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Arkansas vs. Alabama Game Information

When: Saturday, Nov. 20 at 3:30 pm ET
Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama
TV: CBS
Radio: The Ticket 1310 AM (Arkansas) / 700 AM WLW (Alabama)
Live Stream: WatchESPN
College Football Odds: Arkansas Razorbacks (+20.5) / Alabama Crimson Tide (-20.5)

Why Bet on the Arkansas Razorbacks?

Arkansas’ offense does two things right. First, it rushes the ball almost as well as any team in the nation. Second, it doesn’t turn the ball over. The Razorbacks average 234 rushing yards per game. The yardage translates to close to 31 points each contest. Arkansas has turned the ball over just 4 times this season. When a team doesn’t turn the ball over, it can often keep it close or win straight up.

The Razorbacks don’t field one of the best defenses in the nation. But the Arkansas D isn’t that bad. Opponents average just 346.9 yards per game. Arkansas is decent against the pass, yielding less than 196 yards each contest. Opposing teams rush for over 150 each game while the Razorbacks allow 22.9 points each time they step onto the gridiron.

One thing in Arkansas’ favor is turnover margin. While the Razorbacks have turned the ball over 4 times, the Arkansas defense has 10 takeaways.

Why Bet on the Alabama Crimson Tide?

Led by quarterback Bryce Young, the Alabama Crimson Tide offense is one of the best in the nation. The Tide averages 44.6 points per, ranking third behind Ohio State and Wake Forest. Bama ranks tenth in yards per game, amassing 484.7 each contest. The offense is fairly balanced. 322.6 yards come via the pass. Alabama rushes for 162.1 yards per game. The Crimson Tide is also good at protecting the football. Alabama has turned the ball over just 5 times this season.

Alabama’s defense has become one of the better units in the country. The Crimson Tide yield an average of 288.3 yards per game, ranking third. Opponents score 18.2 points each contest, which ranks twelfth. Bama has a classic stop the rush first philosophy. Opponents can throw against the Tide. They can’t rush the ball. Alabama yields 81.6 rushing yards per game, ranking third in the nation. The Tide has taken the ball away 12 times this season, making their turnover ratio 5-to-12.

Arkansas vs. Alabama Betting Trends

Razorbacks are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games.
Arkansas is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Crimson Tide is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 conference games.
Alabama is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games.
Over is 5-1-1 ATS in Alabama’s last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Arkansas vs. Alabama Expert Betting Predictions

The most important stat in this game is how Alabama’s defense is great at stopping the rush. Arkansas is the type of team that relies on running the football. If the Razorbacks can’t run the ball, they can’t score.

Georgia proved that in the Dawgs’ 37-0 victory. Arkansas rushed for just 75 yards in the loss. The similarities between the Georgia game and this contest are undeniable. Once again, Arkansas is on the road versus a top five conference opponent that’s fantastic against the run.

The Razorbacks must throw to win. The problem is that they’re not a good throwing team. So if Arkansas gets down early, and it’s bound to happen because Bryce Young has played out of mind lately, the Razorbacks will be in trouble. The spread is massive. Alabama can cover it.

NCAAF Week 12 Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide

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*All odds stated are subject to change without prior notice.