On Thursday night, the Houston Astros dominated the Texas Rangers in a massive 10-3 win. The Stros evened the series with the win. On Friday afternoon, Houston and Texas run it back in a key game 5. Which team prevails when Justin Verlander and Jordan Montgomery resume their series rivalry? Check out MLB odds, analysis, and a free pick for Houston at Texas.

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers 2023 MLB ALCS Game 5 Information

Tied at ✌️

The #ALCS is heating up in Texas. pic.twitter.com/G6C2Gmx5lv

— MLB (@MLB) October 20, 2023

• When: Friday, October 20, 2023, 5:07 PM ET
• Where: Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
• TV: FS1
• Radio: SportsTalk 790 (Astros) // 105.3 The Fan (Rangers)
• Live Stream: MLB.tv
• MLB Odds: Astros (-103) // Rangers (-114)

Why bet on the Houston Astros?

Verlander lost Game 1, but Justin threw great. Verlander lasted for 6.2 innings, yielded 6 hits, and gave up 2 earned runs.

He struck out 5 and walked just 2. The performance shouldn’t have led to a loss. But the Astros’ bats did nothing versus Jordan Montgomery.

Since that game, Houston has scored 4, 8, and 10. So the Stros should give Verlander more run support than they did in the first game.

Why bet on the Texas Rangers?

Texas jumped out to a 2 games to 0 lead primarily because of Jordan Montgomery and Nathan Eovaldi. Both threw great in their first starts in this series. Montgomery, Friday’s starter, held the Stros to zero runs in Game 1.

Jordan was on fire. He gave up just 5 hits and walked 1 in the 2-0 Texas Rangers win.

Montgomery has been throwing great throughout the postseason. So there’s no reason to believe he doesn’t toss another gem in the key game of the American League Championship Series.

Astros vs. Rangers Betting Trends

• Houston is 9-3 SU in their last 12 games.
• Astros are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games on the road.
• The total went over in 6 of Houston’s last 8 games.
• Texas is 7-2 SU in their last 9 games.
• Rangers are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games against an opponent in the American League.
• The total went over in 4 of Texas’ last 6 games.

Astros vs. Rangers 2023 MLB ALCS Game 5 Betting Prediction

The Texas Rangers started the ALCS playing lights out. The first game was an absolute brilliant performance. But we shouldn’t expect Jordan Montgomery and Texas to provide the same performance in Game 5 that they did in Game 1.

The Houston Astros had yet to get their bats going. Since the Game 1 loss, Houston has revved up with 4 runs, 8 runs and then 10 runs in a Game 4 beat down that may have broken Texas’ spirit.

Even in the Game 2 loss, the Rangers got most of their runs due to a Houston error. Without the error, the Stros probably win Game 2.

In any case, Verlander will throw well again while the Stros’ bats should get to Montgomery. Houston takes the 3-2 American League Championship Series lead.

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