Villareal pulled of an incredible 1-0 upset victory over Bayern in the first leg of their 2-leg aggregate versus the Bundesliga power. On Tuesday, the La Liga squad hopes to shut the door on one of the Champions League favorites. Will Bayern rally for the victory? Or will Villareal continue their dream CL season? Check out the latest Champions League odds, analysis, and a free pick for Bayern Munich vs. Villarreal.
Bayern Munich vs. Villarreal 2022 Champions League Quarterfinals Info
- When: Tuesday, April 12 at 3:00 pm ET
- Where: Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany
- TV: CBS
- Live Stream: Paramount+
- Soccer Odds: Bayern Munich (-2) / Villarreal (+2) / Draw (+560)
Why is Bayern Munich a safe bet to win?
Bayern played about as badly as they could and they only lost 1 goal to 0. After the loss, Bayern got their feet back underneath them with a 1-0 victory over Augsburg. So we shouldn’t expect Bayern to provide another terrible performance. Not only that, but Robert Lewandowski and his teammates take on Villareal at Allianz Stadium. Villareal will play defense. Bayern will be more aggressive and Munich will find a way to grab the win.
Bayern Munich’s Last 5
- Win – 1-0 vs. Augsburg
- Loss – 0-1 vs. Villareal
- Win – 1-4 vs. Freiburg
- Win – 4-0 vs. Union Berlin
- Draw – 1-1 vs. TSG Hoffenheim
Why is Villarreal a safe bet to win?
After a second look, Villareal’s victory over Bayern impresses even more than it did watching the game live. The Primera Division team scored a goal in minute 8. Arnaut Danjuma got the goal for Villareal. The reason the win impresses more after a second viewing is because the road team in this kept Bayern from scoring even though there was 82 minutes left in the match.
Villareal conceded possession, 62% for Bayern to 38% for Villareal. But Bayern couldn’t get a goal. That shows Villareal can play tight defense, which they will do on Tuesday in an attempt to close the door on Bayern.
Villarreal’s Last 5
- Draw – 1-1 vs. Athletic Club
- Win – 1-0 vs. Bayern Munich
- Loss – 2-0 vs. Levante
- Loss – 1-0 vs. Cadiz
- Win – 0-3 vs. Juventus
Bayern Munich vs. Villarreal Betting Prediction
Bayern wants to do a couple of things in this match. First, they must blank Villareal on the scoreboard. If Villareal gets a goal, Bayern’s quest for the semifinals becomes much more difficult because Munich didn’t grab a road goal when they had a chance. Second, Bayern wants to win by at least 2. Bayern can’t take the chance of winning by 1, a 2-1 victory would be a disaster since, again, BM didn’t score a goal on the road.
So the real play isn’t on the moneyline if you like Bayern. It’s on the handicap. The problem, though, is that Villareal will play defense for most of this match. So if you believe Villareal continues to yield possession, but keeps Bayern from scoring more than a goal, or even more than 2, the best bet is obvious.
Under 3.5 goals at +109 is a fantastic wager. Bayern knows they must blanket Villareal because they didn’t score a road goal. So Bayern’s first course of action will be to play defense. Their second course of action will be to control possession and score 2 goals. It’s difficult seeing Bayern scoring more than 3 goals. So if they keep Villareal to 0, under becomes the best play.
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*All stated odds are subject to change without prior notice.