Bills vs. Chiefs 2022 NFL Divisional Round Odds, Preview & Pick

It’s a rematch of last season’s AFC Championship Game on Sunday night when the Buffalo Bills visit the Kansas City Chiefs in the Divisional Round – the winner most likely will visit Tennessee in this season’s AFC title game.

The Chiefs easily handled the Bills in last year’s AFC title game in Kansas City, but Buffalo got some revenge in Week 5 this year with a 38-20 win in KC. Josh Allen threw for 315 yards and three touchdowns while running for another score, and Micah Hyde returned a pick by Patrick Mahomes 26 yards for a TD. Emmanuel Sanders had two TD catches for the Bills. Dawson Knox had 117 yards receiving and the other one. Mahomes finished with 272 yards passing and two touchdowns to go with two interceptions and a lost fumble — three of his team’s four turnovers in all.

NitroBetting presents a comprehensive preview of the Bills vs. Chiefs game down below. Find event details, team and player stats, the latest NFL betting odds, trends, and predictions.

Bills vs. Chiefs Game Information

READ MORE: Rams vs. Buccaneers 2022 NFL Divisional Round Odds, Preview & Pick

Why Bet on the Buffalo Bills?

Buffalo rolled past New England 47-17 in the Wild-Card Round last weekend against a Patriots team that allowed just 17.8 ppg during the regular season. The last team to score 47-or-more points in a postseason game against an opponent that had allowed fewer than 18 points per game during the regular season was the 1992 Dallas Cowboys, who defeated Buffalo in Super Bowl XXVII.

The Bills scored touchdowns on each of their first seven possessions, becoming the first team to accomplish that feat in any NFL game since the Patriots did it in Week 11 of the 2007 season. Allen completed 21 of 25 attempts (84.0 percent) for 308 yards with five touchdowns and no interceptions for a 157.6 rating. He also added 66 rushing yards. He became the third player in NFL history to throw five-or-more touchdowns with no interceptions and fewer than five incompletions in a postseason game, joining Peyton Manning (2003) and Kurt Warner (2009).

Buffalo entered that game pretty healthy and doesn’t have any major injury concerns for Sunday. Familiarity between the two teams will play a role for Buffalo coaching staff this week, but Bills defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier doesn’t want his staff relying too much on past experiences. This could be Frazier’s final game as DC as he has been rumored for the Bears head coaching job.

“They’ve seen us a few times in a short period of time, and we think we know them fairly well,” Frazier said. “So, you don’t want to just overdo it when it comes to strategizing and putting together a game plan. You want to make sure you’re doing the things that you do well, and that you’re able to go out and execute.”

Why Bet on the Kansas City Chiefs?

Kansas City routed Pittsburgh 42-21 last weekend as it looks for a fourth straight trip to the AFC title game. Pittsburgh punted on seven straight possessions to begin the contest, mustering just 44 yards of offense and two first downs in the first half. Kansas City forced a three-and-out on five of those seven possessions.

Mahomes completed 30 of 39 attempts (76.9 percent) for 404 yards and five touchdowns with one interception for a 138.2 rating. He joined Daryle Lamonica and Warner as the only players ever to throw for five-or-more touchdowns in multiple postseason games. Mahomes also threw five touchdowns in a 2019 Divisional-round win vs. the Texans.

In nine career postseason starts, Mahomes has totaled 2,728 passing yards (303.1 per game) and 22 touchdown passes with a 105.1 rating. With two touchdown passes on Sunday, Mahomes will surpass Drew Brees (23 touchdown passes) and Warner (23) for the most ever by a quarterback in his first 10 postseason starts.

Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce, who had five catches for 108 yards and a touchdown in last week’s Wild Card win, can establish an NFL postseason record by reaching 100 yards again this week. Kelce enters with four straight postseason games with at least 100 receiving yards, tied with Larry Fitzgerald (2018) and Antonio Brown (2014-16) for the longest streak. Kelce now has 88 career receptions in the postseason, which ranks fifth in NFL history behind only Jerry Rice (151), Julian Edelman (118), Rob Gronkowski (94) and Reggie Wayne (93).

Bills vs. Chiefs Betting Trends

  • Bills are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games.
  • Bills are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
  • The total went over in 4 of Buffalo’s last 6 games.
  • Chiefs are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff home games.
  • The total went over in 6 of Kansas City’s last 6 games.

Bills vs. Chiefs Expert Betting Predictions

NFL Divisional Round Pick: Chiefs cover

Check out our latest sports betting guides for the 2022 NFL Regular Season. Stay tuned for more Football previews and articles and don’t forget to check out the latest football betting odds at our online Bitcoin sportsbook.

*All odds stated are subject to change without prior notice.