The Philadelphia Phillies fell apart in Game 6. The Phillies, searching for a second straight World Series trip, could get nothing going at the plate in Arizona’s 5-1 victory. On Tuesday night, Zona and Philly play in a winner-take Game 7 that will determine who moves to the Fall Classic to throw down against the Texas Rangers. Which team wins the National League Championship Series? Check out MLB odds, analysis, and a free pick for D’Backs at Phillies.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies 2023 MLB NLCS Game 7 Information

#NLCS Game 7, Tuesday night.

Who will join the @Rangers in the #WorldSeries? pic.twitter.com/vip0RnZiV0

— MLB (@MLB) October 24, 2023

• When: Monday, October 23, 2023, 8:07 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
• TV: TBS
• Radio: KMVP Arizona Sports 98.7 (Diamondbacks) // WIP 94.1 FM (Phillies)
• Live Stream: MLB.tv
• MLB Odds: Diamondbacks (+144) // Phillies (-169)

Why bet on the Arizona Diamondbacks?

Based on his regular season stats, Tuesday night starter Brandon Pfaadt has no chance of holding the Phillies to less than 4 or maybe even 5 runs. Pfaadt went 3-9 with a 5.72 ERA. His WHIP during the season was 1.41.

However, there are a few things to notice about Pfaadt. First, he hasn’t yielded a run in 2 straight starts. Second, he hasn’t yielded a run in 3-of-4 starts. Third, Brandon hasn’t lasted more than 5.2 innings in his last 5 starts but the D’Backs are 4-0 in Pfaadt’s last 4 starts.

The final thing we note is the most important. What it tells is that when manager Torey Lovullo sends Pfaadt to the mound, he does so with a strategy. The strategy usually works.

Why bet on the Philadelphia Phillies?

Ranger Suarez, Tuesday night’s starter, threw an unbelievable game against the D’Backs earlier in this series. The Phillies lost 2-1, but it wasn’t because of Ranger’s pitching. In fact, Zona got their 2 runs after Suarez

Suarez stepped to the mound and delivered a 3 hit, 7 strikeouts, 1 walk performance. Ranger lasted 5.1 innings. If Philadelphia manager Rob Thomson had allowed Suarez to finish out the inning, who knows? Maybe, the Phillies score the 2 runs and their bullpen shuts down AZ in the earlier game.

Thomson may give Suarez more run in this. If that happens, the Phillies could be in line for a second straight World Series berth.

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Betting Trends

• Arizona is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games.
• Diamondbacks are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games on the road.
• The total went over in 13 of Arizona’s last 19 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
• Philadelphia is 9-4 SU in their last 13 games.
• Phillies are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home.
• The total went over in 13 of Philadelphia’s last 19 games when playing at home against Arizona.

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies 2023 MLB NLCS Game 7 Betting Prediction

The Phillies couldn’t land a single run against Arizona’s bullpen in Game 6. That’s important to note because anytime Luvullo sends Pfaadt to the mound it’s with a strategy of using Arizona’s BP.

Luvullo has managed Pfaadt’s last 2 starts with brilliant precision. Pfaadt struck out 9 Phillies in 5.2 innings and yielded 2 hits in Brandon’s first start in this series. Luvullo will put in place the same strategy. There’s not much Philadelphia can do to counter. The D’Backs pull off the Game 7 shocker.

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