Two historic Serie A rivals clash on Wednesday hoping to get an edge in the first leg of a Champions League quarterfinals matchup when AC Milan takes on Napoli. The Napoleons head into the contest the slight road chalk. Will Napoli show why they’re a contender to win the CL title? Or will AC Milan grab the aggregate lead with a home pitch victory? Keep reading for soccer odds, analysis, and a free pick for AC Milan versus Napoli.

Milan vs. Napoli 2022 Champions League Quarterfinals Leg 1 Info

This is our DNA
This is #ACMilan ⚫#UCL #MilanNapoli #SempreMilan pic.twitter.com/iNivQB2yrW

— AC Milan (@acmilan) April 9, 2023

• When: Wednesday, April 12 at 3:00 pm ET
• Where: Giuseppe Meazza, Milano, Italy
• TV: Paramount
• Live Stream: Paramount+
• Soccer Odds: Milan (+166) / Tottenham (+187) / Draw (+222)

READ MORE: Real Madrid vs. Chelsea 2023 Champions League Odds & Preview (Apr. 12)

Why is Milan a safe bet to win?

AC Milan’s attack doesn’t boast a player of Victor Osimhen’s abilities, but it’s not bad. Rafael Leao, Brahim Diaz, and Alexis Saelemaekers can all kick the ball to the back of the net.

So can Olivier Giroud. The French superstar has scored 8 goals in 20 matches started. When Giroud leaves the pitch, Ante Rebic, 3 goals in 7 starts and 12 subs, can get it done.

Milan’s defense is playing terrific soccer. AC held Napoli to 0 goals in the last head-to-head. Not only that, but Udinese scored 1, Salernitana 1, and Tottenham scored 0 in Milan’s second leg aggregate Round of 16 match versus the Hotspur.

Empoli also scored 0 in AC Milan’s last. The home team’s defense will be ready on Wednesday.

Possible Line-Up

• Maignan
• Calabria
• Kjaer
• Tomori
• Hernandez
• Tonali
• Krunic
• Bennacer
• Diaz
• Leao
• Giroud

Milan’s Last 5

• Draw: 0-0 vs. Empoli
• Win: 4-0 vs. Napoli
• Loss: 3-1 vs. Udinese
• Draw: 1-1 vs. Salernitana
• Draw: 0-0 vs. Tottenham

Why is Napoli safe bet to win?

Save for a 4-0 loss to AC Milan, Napoli’s attack has been downright brilliant in the last 5. Napoli blasted Atalanta 2-0, Frankfurt 3-0, and scored 2 goals against Leece in a bounce back win after the Atalanta loss.

24-year-old Victor Osimhen is turning into one of the top strikers in any UEFA League. Osimhen has scored 21 goals in 22 starts and a sub. Osimhen kicked in 2 goals in the 3-0 victory over Frankfurt.

Napoli’s defense fell apart in the last matchup versus AC Milan. But before the loss, the Napoleons hadn’t yielded a goal in 3 straight matches.

What makes the non-goals allowed streak impressive is that it happened against decent teams Atalanta, Frankfurt, and Torino. Don’t worry about the goal allowed to Lecce. Napoli has a 17 points lead over Lazio on the Serie A standings. The Napoleons are focused on the Champions League because they’ve got the Serie A title in the bag.

Possible Line-Up

• Meret
• Di Lorenzo
• Rrahmani
• Min-Jae
• Rui
• Anguissa
• Lobotka
• Zielinski
• Lozano
• Raspadori
• Kvaratskhelia

Napoli’s Last 5

• Win: 1-2 vs. Lecce
• Loss: 0-4 vs. AC Milan
• Win: 0-4 vs. Torino
• Win: 3-0 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt
• Win: 2-0 vs. Atalanta

Milan vs. Napoli Betting Prediction

AC may have pulled back against Empoli to save something for this match. No doubt, AC Milan is concentrating almost exclusively on the Champions League.

Napoli has a massive 22 points lead over AC Milan. The home team in this knows they won’t win Serie A this season.

Upsetting the top teams and taking the Champions League, though, is a possibility. It’s not probable, but it could happen.

With that being written, AC Milan faces a hungry and angry rival on April 12. Napoli will not only be looking to get a leg up on the aggregate, but will also be searching for revenge after the 0-4 loss in the last head-to-head. The Napoleons prevail.

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