Top NBA Betting Picks of the Week – November 27th, 2023
A reminder that the NBA’s In-Season Tournament group stage play ends on Tuesday with six group winners and the top two second-place teams advancing to the knockout round. A total of 16 teams still have a mathematical shot at qualifying for the knockout rounds. Here’s a look at two intriguing early-week matchups including one from the tournament.
Top NBA Betting Picks of the Week (November 27th, 2023)
A 7-game win streak sees Orlando surge, but the top 5 stays the same in this week's NBA App Power Rankings
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Los Angeles Lakers vs. Philadelphia 76ers
- When: Monday, November 27th, 2023, 7:00 PM ET
- Where: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA
- TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia, Spectrum SportsNeNT
- Radio: WTAM 1100 AM (Lakers) // The Fanatic 97.5 FM (76ers)
- Stream: NBA League Pass
- NBA Odds: Lakers (+5) // 76ers (-5)
Shown nationally on NBA TV. Could be an NBA Finals preview, although I tend to doubt either team gets there. The Lakers haven’t been very good on the road this season for the most part but got a nice 121-115 win in Cleveland on Saturday. In his return to Cleveland, the Lakers’ LeBron James played 35 minutes and had 22 points, six rebounds and six assists. He was only 8-for-23 from the field, though. A big reason for the poor overall percentage was a 1-of-9 night from three; he made 50% of his twos, a solid percentage given the presence of Cleveland’s “twin towers,” Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen. The lingering concern is his contused left calf, but LeBron continues to play in spite of the injury. It’s not expected to keep him out here.
Anthony Davis had a season-high 32 points on Saturday along with 13 rebounds and three blocks. Davis did his best work in the second half, scoring 23 points to help lead the Lakers to a win in a game that was close throughout. The scoring output was a nice bounce-back effort by the star big man after he recorded just 10 points versus Dallas in his previous contest. He leads the NBA with 2.9 blocks per game on the campaign. Austin Reaves had 15 points and a season-high 10 assists. It was his third double-double of the season. Reaves is in the midst of arguably his best stretch of the season, averaging 17.0 points, 6.8 dimes, 5.5 rebounds and 1.3 steals over his past four games.
The Sixers also had a nice road win Saturday, 127-123 in Oklahoma City. Joel Embiid finished with 35 points, 11 rebounds and nine assists, obviously one assist away from recording what would’ve been his first triple-double of the campaign. Embiid has recorded three double-doubles in a row and is on a run of four straight games with 32 or more points. The emergence of Tyrese Maxey has given Embiid a reliable second star to partner with, but the reigning MVP remains the go-to player for Philadelphia, and his numbers back that up. Embiid is averaging 33.5 points, 11.4 rebounds, 6.4 assists, 1.8 blocks and 1.2 steals per game across his last 10 outings. Maxey had 28 points vs. the Thunder.
Philadelphia has now scored at least 125 points six times this season, which is tied for the third-most such games in the league. Philly had 49 boards vs. Oklahoma City and is now 5-0 this season when pulling down at least 19. The Sixers are 11-0 in games since the start of last season in games they lead entering the fourth quarter.
This will be the 290th meeting between the two franchises dating back to 1950 (207th in the Los Angeles era) and the 182nd since the Sixers moved to Philadelphia prior to the 1963-64 season. The Lakers are 4-6 in their last 10 visits to the City of Brotherly Love.
NBA Betting Pick: 76ers
READ MORE: Bucks vs. Heat 2023 NBA Odds and Preview – November 28th
Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings
- When: Tuesday, November 28th, 2023, 10:00 PM ET
- Where: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
- TV: TNT
- Radio: 95.7 The Game (Warriors) // Sactown Sports 1140 AM (Kings)
- Live Stream: NBATV
- NHL Betting Odds: TBA
TNT game and part of the In-Season Tournament. The Warriors and Kings are in West Group C with the Kings leading it at 3-0 and Golden State tied for second with Minnesota at 2-1, while the Thunder (1-2) and Spurs (0-4) are eliminated. Golden State can advance with a win over the Kings. The Warriors advancing to the quarterfinals as the Western Conference’s wild card is unlikely. The Phoenix Suns (3-1) currently hold the wild-card spot and own a plus-34 point differential. That’s going to be tough for the Warriors to top.
The Dubs avoided elimination with a 118-112 home win over the Spurs on Friday. Steph Curry had 35 points and was 7-for-13 from deep, tying his season high in makes. He has drained seven threes five times already in 15 games. Curry also has scored at least 30 points in eight of those contests, and the 35-year-old is showing he can still play at an MVP level. His 44.4 percent shooting from beyond the arc would be his best performance in that category since 2015-16, while his 29.7 points per game ranks sixth in the league.
Golden State leads the NBA in total second-chance points and its 17.8 second-chance points per game ranks third in the NBA behind the Magic (18.5) and Jazz (18.4). The Warriors average 13.7 offensive boards a game, trailing only the Jazz (15.1) and Knicks (14.3). Kevon Looney is averaging 3.4 offensive rebounds per game, ranked seventh among the league leaders (minimum 10 games). Golden State has outscored the opponent’s bench in 16 of 17 games this season, including the first 12, a franchise record to begin a season and tied for the second-longest such streak (1975-76 and 1992-93), trailing only a 14-game streak (1969-70). Draymond Green’s five-game suspension ended with Friday’s win so he should play in this one.
The Kings also have been off since Friday when they won 124-111 at Minnesota. De’Aaron Fox was great with 36 points, 12 assists and seven rebounds. The 25-year-old led all scorers in the game as he produced his first double-double of the season. Fox has scored 26 or more points in six of seven games since returning from an ankle injury, averaging a sizzling 29.3 points, 6.0 assists, 4.3 boards, 3.3 threes and 1.7 steals over that stretch, and the Kings’ lack of depth behind him at point guard had led to a career-high 32.6 percent usage rate in the early part of the season. Second-year player and starter Keegan Murray hasn’t played since Nov. 20 due to back soreness and is questionable Tuesday.
Golden State is 2-0 vs. Sacramento this season. They last met in San Francisco on Nov. 1 and the Warriors won 102-101. Klay Thompson hit a 17-footer with less than a second remaining and the Warriors held off a second-half flurry by Sacramento. Domantas Sabonis put the Kings ahead moments earlier on a jumper with 16 seconds to play after Curry’s layup just before in a wild final minute. Curry scored with 33 seconds left following a 24-second violation by Sacramento that gave Golden State the ball for another chance with 38.4 seconds left trailing 99-98. Fox was out injured.
NBA Betting Pick: Kings
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READ MORE: Top NBA Betting Picks of the Week – December 4th, 2023