Patriots vs. Texans 2021 NFL Week 5 Odds, Analysis and Prediction

By Carlos Chacon • October 6, 2021

The New England Patriots challenge the Houston Texans in Week 5 of the 2021 NFL season. Both share the same 1-3 record and look to recover from a Week 4 loss. Currently, the Patriots hold third place in the AFC East and are tied with the Jets and the Dolphins. A win gives them a chance to close the gap on division leader Buffalo Bills. But before that, they have to overcome the Texans on the road.

Meanwhile, the Texans need a win to get a shot at a share of the top spot in the AFC South. If they can bounce back from a distressing 40-0 loss to the Bills in Week 4 and if the Titans fail to win this weekend, we can see the team atop the AFC South by the end of the week.

With all of that coming your way, NitroBetting gears you up with all the information you need. Below, our Patriots vs. Texans preview shares event details, team, and player statistics, the latest NFL betting odds, betting trends, and predictions that help you lock in on the best picks. Be sure to check for the latest sports betting odds at our online BTC sportsbook.

Patriots vs. Texans Game Information

“We gotta find ways to win these close games that we haven’t won.”

BB on @TheGregHillShow: https://t.co/0qTBjxdHhx
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) October 4, 2021

When: Sunday, October 10, 2021, 1:00 PM ET
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
TV: CBS
Radio: 98.5 FM The Sports Hub (Patriots) / SportsRadio 610 AM (Texans)
Live Stream:NFL Game Pass
NFL Odds: New England Patriots (-8.5) / Houston Texans (+8.5)

Why Bet on the New England Patriots?

The Patriots won their first game of the season against the Jets in Week 2 but suffered two straight losses to the Saints and the Buccaneers, respectively. If head coach Bill Belichick and company want to return to playoff contention, they need to show improvement right away. In their most recent contest, the Pats managed to get the Buccaneers in trouble in the final quarter, narrowing the deficit to 2 points. Although it was not enough to take the win or even stretch it to overtime, there are positive takeaways from the game.

Despite falling behind in total yards and rushing yards, Mac Jones did enough to stay in the game. The quarterback closed his account with 275 yards on 31 of 40 passing, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jakobi Meyers served as his primary target, recording 70 yards on 8 receptions. Furthermore, Hunter Henry and Jonnu Smith produced a touchdown each with a combined 46 yards and 7 receptions.

Previewing the defense, Jonathan Jones was the busiest man of the side with 9 tackles (7 solo). Kyle Dugger was next best with 7 tackles (6 solo), while J.C. Jackson followed with 5 solo tackles. In addition, Matthew Judon was the only player to produce a sack for his team, as well as 7 tackles (4 solo).

This weekend, the Patriots come into the game with a significantly healthy lineup. Only Isaiah Wynn and Mike Onwenu won’t make it after being placed on the COVID-19 list, while Trent Brown remains on the questionable list due to a calf injury.

Why Bet on the Houston Texans?

The Texans were embarrassed by the Bills in Week 4 following a 40-0 defeat. This brings their losing streak to three straight games and calls for urgent changes. In their losing efforts, they fell behind in total yards 450 to 109 and rushing yards 199 to 48. Davis Mills finished the night with underwhelming numbers, recording 87 yards on 11-of-21 passing.

However, the quarterback managed to find 4 interceptions along the way. Brandin Cooks was his number one target, who had 47 yards and 5 receptions. Meanwhile, the rushing side was led by Mark Ingram Jr. and David Johnson, who had 24 yards and 21 yards, respectively, and combined for 11 carries.

It was a different story for the Texans’ defense that night. Desmond King was the busiest man after grabbing 9 tackles (8 solo) during his stint. Lonnie Johnson Jr. followed him with 8 tackles (5 solo) and the only defensive interception. Whitney Mercilus is the only player who produced a sack on top of 2 tackles (1 solo).

In the upcoming game, the Texans only have Danny Mendola to worry about. The wide receiver is listed as questionable due to a hamstring injury and is expected to return in Week 6. In the meantime, we expect Anthony Miller to cover for him in this matchup.

Patriots vs. Texans Betting Trends

The Patriots are 2-3 in their last 5 away games.
The Patriots are 2-3 against the spread in their last 5 away games.
The totals have gone under in 5 of the Patriots’ last 5 away games.
The Texans are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.
The Texans are 2-3 against the spread in their last 5 home games.
The totals have gone over in 3 of the Texans’ last 5 home games.

Patriots vs. Texans Expert Betting Predictions

Even though the Patriots have a hard time building some momentum, they get the edge in this contest. Thanks to a more consistent lineup and their ability to close gaps, we anticipate more pressure coming from their side. Nonetheless, the Texans have what it takes to cover the spread and even win, but it’s going to be a testing night for them if they fail to set the tempo. Having a home-field advantage is a plus for the team. However, they have to put their best foot forward to relieve some of the tension.

Check out our latest sports betting guides for the 2021 NFL Regular Season. Stay tuned for more Football previews and articles and don’t forget to check out the latest Football betting odds at our online Bitcoin sportsbook.

*All odds stated are subject to change without prior notice.