After losing Game 3, Game 4, and Game 5, the Texas Rangers stepped it up in Game 6, blasting the rival Houston Astros 9-2. On Monday night, Texas has a chance to make it to their first World Series since the 2011 season. The Astros hope to make it to back-to-back World Series in ALCS Game 7. Which American League West squad gets it done? Keep reading for ALCS baseball odds, analysis, and a free pick for Astros vs Rangers in Game 7.

Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros 2023 MLB ALCS Game 7 Information

A Texas-sized win deserves a griddy. pic.twitter.com/ncfPe5O5q8

— MLB (@MLB) October 23, 2023

• When: Monday, October 23, 2023, 5:07 PM ET
• Where: Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
• TV: FS1
• Radio: 105.3 The Fan (Rangers) // SportsTalk 790 (Astros)
• Live Stream: MLB.tv
• MLB Odds: Rangers (+106) // Astros (-130)

Why bet on the Texas Rangers?

Texas jumped out to a 2 games to 0 lead primarily because of Jordan Montgomery and Nathan Eovaldi. Both threw great in their first starts in this series. Montgomery, Friday’s starter, held the Stros to zero runs in Game 1.

Jordan was on fire. He gave up just 5 hits and walked 1 in the 2-0 Texas Rangers win.

Montgomery has been throwing great throughout the postseason. So there’s no reason to believe he doesn’t toss another gem in the key game of the American League Championship Series.

Why bet on the Houston Astros?

Monday starter Christian Javier didn’t have his greatest postseason performance when facing the Rangers earlier in this series. The usual unhittable in the postseason Javier allowed 2 earned runs off 3 hits in 5.2 innings.

But there’s something about Javier and the Astros lineup. No matter how Christian throws, Houston gets it going at the plate. The Stros beat Texas 8-5 to take Game 3. Houston is 9-3 SU in Javier’s last 12 starts.

Rangers vs. Astros Betting Trends

• Texas is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games.
• Rangers are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games on the road.
• The total went over in 4 of Texas’ last 5 games.
• Houston is 10-4 SU in their last 14 games.
• Astros are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games at home.
• The total went over in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games.

Rangers vs. Astros 2023 MLB ALCS Game 7 Betting Prediction

We’d go with the Scherzer can bounce back thesis if it weren’t for the fact that the last couple of times Max has thrown against Houston, he’s struggled. The Astros ran Scherzer off the mound in the Sep 3 game.

Then in the ALCS game, Scherzer lasted just 4 innings. Overall, the Stros dominate Max. In 178 at-bats versus Scherzer, the Stros have posted a .289 batting average, have belted 8 home runs, and have 50 hits. Houston’s OPS versus Max is .838 as a team.

Yordan Alvarez bats .500 against Scherzer when going 4-of-8. Michael Brantley is 20-of-56 for a .357 average. Jeremy Pena is 3-of-7 versus Max.

Also, although Game 6 ended in a blowout, twice the Stros loaded up the based and then stranded all six runners. Houston won’t strand anybody on Monday night. The Stros win Game 7.

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