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Top Tennis Betting Picks of the Week – July 15th, 2024

By Hank Blaine

On Wednesday, top players like Casper Ruud and Andrey Rublev head to the second round of this week’s most high profile ATP Tournament, the Nordea Open in Bastad, Sweden. When tennis odds land, Ruud and Rublev are going to be massive favorites versus their opponents. Will the chalk players get it done? Check out analysis and free picks for four of Wednesday’s best matches at the 2024 ATP Nordea Open in Bastad, Sweden.

Top Tennis Betting Picks of the Week (July 15th, 2024)

ATP – 2024 Nordea Open – Bastad, Sweden

  • When: Wednesday, July 17th, 2024

Roberto Caballes Baena vs. Denis Yevseyev

31-year-old Denis Yevseyev had to qualify for this week’s ATP tournament. Yevseyev played great when beating Ludvig Hede 2-6, 6-1, 6-1. Then in the qualifying final, Yevseyev dusted Manuel Guinard 4-6, 6-4, 6-3.

But the reason to truly consider Yevseyev a contender versus the more popular Roberto Caballe Baena is because the projected underdog upset Alexandre Muller 7-5, 7-5 in his first round match. Beating Muller impresses.

Baena, though, upset 6-seed Roman Safiullin in his first Nordea Open match. It took Baena, who is 16-16 in singles matches this season, 3 sets a tiebreaker to get the win. Safiullin may have pushed Baena just enough for us to back Yevseyev on the spread line.

Tennis Betting Pick: Denis Yevseyev

Casper Ruud vs. Thiago Monteiro

Thiago Monteiro has had a decent year so far when winning 9 and losing just 5. Monteiro bowed out at the first round at Wimbledon, but he didn’t go quietly, losing after 4 sets and a 10-8 tiebreaker in the second set. Monteiro won his first Nordea Open contest, beating Federico Coria 6-1, 6-3.

Ruud is going to be a massive moneyline favorite. So if we decide to back Ruud, we’re going to have to on the spread line. Casper has won 2 singles titles and is 40-11 in singles matches in 2024. Although his Wimbledon wasn’t great, Ruud made it all the way to the semifinals at Roland Garros, losing to Alexander Zverev after 4 sets. Casper covers.

Tennis Betting Pick: Casper Ruud

Thiago Augustin Tirante vs. Andrey Rublev

Like Monteiro versus Ruud, Thiago Augustin Tirante is in a tough match versus Andrey Rublev. Tirante faces the 2023 defending champion.

The massive underdog won a match at Wimbledon and played 5 sets in his first round loss to Pedro Martinez at Roland Garros. In his first round match, Tirante, a 23-year-old from Argentina, beat Jaime Faria 3-6, 6-1, 6-4.

Rublev is one of the ATP’s top players. Ranked eighth in the world, Andrey has won 2 titles and is 24-12 in singles matches. But since winning the Mutua Madrid Open in late April and early May, Rublev has struggled.

He played just a single match at the Wortmann Open and got knocked out in the first match at Wimbledon, losing to Francisco Comesana. Tirante may not win straight up, but he should keep this closer than the projected spread.

Tennis Betting Pick: Thiago Augustin Tirante

Duje Ajdukovic vs. Pavel Kotov

Ajdukovic versus Kotov should be a great match. Kotov, the 8-seed, is the likely chalk. But Kotov struggled in his first Nordea Open contest when beating Cristian Garin after 3 sets and a tiebreaker. This season, Kotov is 14-13 in singles matches.

Ajdukovic has already won 3 matches at the Nordea Open. He beat Dmitry Popko and Alejandro Moro Canas to qualify for the tournament. Then in his first round match, Ajdukovic beat Luca Van Assche in straight sets 6-3, 6-3. The likely dog in this, Duje Ajdukovic, can get it done.

Tennis Betting Pick: Duje Ajdukovic

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READ MORE: Top Tennis Betting Picks of the Week – July 22nd, 2024