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2023 U.S. Open Men’s Singles First Round Betting Predictions

By Hank Blaine

The draw for the 2023 U.S. Open Men’s Tennis tournament happened on Thursday. Top first round matchups include Alexander Zverev versus Aleksandr Vukic, Andy Murray against Corentin Moutet and Ugo Humbert versus Matteo Berrettini. Check out U.S. Open tennis odds, analysis, and free picks for six of Monday’s best matchups.

Top 2023 U.S. Open Men’s Singles First Round

Alexander Zverev vs. Aleksandr Vukic

  • When: Monday, August 28

Underdog Aleksandr Vukic last played at the Winston-Salem Open. Vukic played okay, winning his first round and second round matches before falling to Sebastian Baez in the third round.

But although Vukic played well, taking on Alexander Zverev in the first round is a whole other thing. Zverev made it all the way to the Western & Southern Open semifinals where he lost to Novak Djokovic in the last. The chalk covers the game spread.

2023 U.S. Open Betting Pick: Alexander Zverev -6.5 -102

Andy Murray vs. Corentin Moutet

  • When: Monday, August 28

Corentin Moutet has gone 6-13 in singles matches this season. It doesn’t sound great, but Moutet has pocketed over $500,000. So he’s played well enough to make more than a half million even though he’s barely won less than 50% of his matches.

It means Moutet has played well in high-competition tournaments. The U.S. Open is a high-competition tournament. So Corentin will play well.

Murray hasn’t played since the Optimum National Bank in early August. The dog is the handicap play.

2023 U.S. Open Betting Pick: Corentin Moutet +5.5 -103

Stanislas Wawrinka vs. Yoshihito Nishioka

  • When: Monday, August 28

Wawrinka has had a decent year, going 22-15 in singles matches. Stanislas couldn’t get past Max Purcell in the third round at the Western & Southern Open, though.

Yoshihito Nishioka bowed out in the second round at the Western & Southern Open, but he faced Alexander Zverev in that match. The odds make the favorite an underlay. So backing the overlay is the play.

2023 U.S. Open Betting Pick: Yoshihito Nishioka +169

Alexandre Muller vs. Novak Djokovic

  • When: Monday, August 28

Muller is up against it to keep this close. Alexandre lost to Benjamin Bonzi in the first round at the Western & Southern Open.

Djokovic beat Carlos Alcaraz at the final of the Western & Southern Open. Djoker was all out to win. So although Djokovic can beat Muller by 10 games, it’s not a good bet. Djoker wins, but he doesn’t win by 10 games. An 8 game victory is the ceiling.

2023 U.S. Open Betting Pick: Novak Djokovic -9.5 -102

Ugo Humbert vs. Matteo Berrettini

  • When: Monday, August 28

Favorite Matteo Berrettini lost in the first round of the Western & Southern Open, falling to Felix Auger-Aliassime. Berrettini should play better in this.

Ugo Humbert lost to Tommy Paul in his last. Matteo should win this, no problem. But the odds difference makes Berrettini an underlay. The dog is worth a look.

2023 U.S. Open Betting Pick: Ugo Humbert +160

Emil Ruusuvuori vs. Andrey Rublev

  • When: Monday, August 28

Emil Ruusuvuori lost to Alexei Popyrin in the third round at the Western & Southern Open in his last. But before falling to Popyrin, Ruusuvuori had upset Andry Rublev in the second round.

So this is a rematch. Oddsmakers and tennis bettors believe Rublev exacts revenge. He may, but the -345 makes Andrey an underlay. Backing Ruusuvuori at the current line makes sense.

2023 U.S. Open Betting Pick: Emil Ruusuvuori +243

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