Aces vs. Liberty 2023 WNBA Finals Game 1 Odds and Preview

By Jeff Stinger • October 2, 2023

The Liberty Wings and the Las Vegas Aces advance to the 2023 WNBA Finals. Both sides look confident ahead of their meeting on the big stage. Las Vegas swept the Dallas Wings in the Semis, while New York looked comfortable against the Connecticut Sun to finish the series 3-1. The finalists will first meet at Michelob Ultra Arena on Sunday. The setting gives the 2023 regular-season leaders home advantage after finishing on the board with 34 wins and six losses.

Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty 2023 WNBA Finals Game 1 Match Information

This what y'all been waiting for… you ready

The 2023 #WNBAFinals presented by @YouTubeTV is set as the top two seeds, the @LVAces, and @nyliberty continue on their quest to a title on October 8th at 3pm/ET on ABC pic.twitter.com/LJOx72Cf0T
— WNBA (@WNBA) October 1, 2023

When: Sunday, October 8, 2023, 3:00 PM ET
Where: Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas, NV
TV: ESPN
Live Stream: ESPN
WNBA Betting Odds: TBA

Why Bet on the Las Vegas Aces?

The Las Vegas Aces completed a sweep and are now on their second consecutive WNBA Final appearance. The Aces maintain their losing record of only five games since July 9 and average 91.8 points on 46% shooting. They allow 74 points on 38.2% shooting and are commended for their ability to perform well on both ends of the floor.

Game 3 produced the closest scoreline between the Aces in the Wings during the playoff series. Nevertheless, the three-point deficit was enough to complete the sweep against the fourth-seeded side. By the end of the contest, the Aces shot 40.7% from the field and 31.6% from deep. They were the better team from the line at 71.4%, while keeping an active rebounding side that saw the squad record five offensive and 34 defensive boards.

Although the Aces gave up seven more turnovers than their opponents, they capitalized on the Wings’ 13 total turnovers and scored 15 points off the errors. Chelsea Gray led her team to victory with 15 points on seven of 16 shooting from the field. A’ja Wilson took care of rebounding and cleaned the glass with 13 rebounds, featuring nine defensive and four offensive boards. Expect the two causing problems for the hosts on Sunday night.

Why Bet on the New York Liberty?

The New York Liberty prepares for their first WNBA Finals trip since 2022. Sandy Brondello and her crew look confident since missing out on the prestigious trophy for over two decades. They’re on an impressive run and dropped just three games since July 30. As a team, the Liberty average 83.8 points on 43% shooting and allow 79.2 points on 42.5% shooting.

Their previous performance in opposition to Connecticut was closer than their first few meetings. However, the Liberty stayed on top to finish the game ahead by three points. By the final buzzer, New York shot 41.2% from the field and 45.5% from deep. The former number was trumped by the Sun, but the Liberty made up for their erratic shooting elsewhere. They were brilliant from the line and hit 21 of 25 free throws while running over the Sun on the glass. The team finished the night with 42 boards, including 11 offensive and 31 defensive rebounds.

Breanna Stewart is the focal point of New York’s offense. Her previous game saw her lead the scoreboard with 27 points and six of six from the free-throw line. Starters Jonquel Jones and Betnijah Laney are expected to provide a safety net on the offensive side of things after the pair previously logged 25 and 21 points, respectively.

Aces vs. Liberty Betting Trends

The Aces are 2-3 in the last five meetings against the Liberty.
The totals went under in three of the Aces’ last five games versus the Liberty.
Las Vegas is 2-3 against the spread in their last five games opposing New York.
The Liberty are 5-0 in the last five contests on the road.
The totals went over in four of the Liberty’s last five away games.
New York is 3-2 against the spread in their last five road games.

Aces vs. Liberty Expert Betting Prediction

The pair blew the doors off in the semis. It’s only fitting that the two teams in the regular season worked their way up to the Finals, with a similar win-loss record. This is a must-watch matchup for basketball fans and bettors. Las Vegas has been comfortable in its series challenging the Dallas Wings. They left no room for error and finished the semifinals in three games. It also means the Aces are well-rested ahead of the opening game where they hold home advantage.

Meanwhile, the challengers, New York Liberty, are hot off a 3-1 win over Connecticut. They can win this contest looking at their record matched up with the Aces. Head coach Sandy Brondello and her team are also coming off one of their best playoff series. The Liberty have the essential components to hand with any team, and covering the spread while keeping their winning chances in sight remains in the narrative.

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