At the beginning of the season, many believed Bengals versus Jaguars on NFL Monday Night Football was going to be a battle for the AFC’s top playoff seed. An injury to Joe Burrow has made Cincinnati a +9 underdog versus the strong Jags. Will the Bengals show they still have something left even without their star quarterback? Or will the Jaguars continue to win games and cover spreads? See below for NFL odds, analysis, and a pick for Monday night’s battle between the Jaguars and Bengals.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Game Information

@FLBlue | #CINvsJAX pic.twitter.com/WsAEETBmji

— Jacksonville Jaguars (@Jaguars) November 29, 2023

• When: Monday, December 4th, 2023. 8:15pm EST.
• Where: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
• TV: ABC, ESPN
• Radio: 700 WLW (Bengals) // WJXL AM 1010 (Jaguars)
• Live Stream: NFL+
• NFL Odds: Bengals (+8.5) // Jaguars (-8.5)

Why Bet on the Cincinnati Bengals?

The Bengals defense hasn’t lived up to the hype. This is especially true in Cincinnati’s last few games. One of the reasons for Cincy’s 3-game losing streak is because the defense is struggling to stop the run and the pass.

The Texans scored 30, the Ravens scored 34, and even though the Steelers scored just 16, that was a lot for Pittsburgh at the time. Cincinnati lost all 3 games.

When the D does play well, it’s usually because both Sam Hubbard and Trey Hendrickson, Cincinnati’s starting defensive ends, are both having great games. If either Hubbard or Hendrickson struggles, the defense struggles overall.

The stats imply Jake Browning is a decent quarterback. But he doesn’t have the overall skill set that Burrow possesses.

Also, Joe Cool has a rapport with all three of Cincinnati’s starting wide receiver, Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd, and Ja’Marr Chase. Browning has yet to develop a rapport with those players.

Running back Joe Mixon is doing his part. Mixon has rushed for 621 yards and scored 4 rushing touchdowns. Joe’s per carry average is 3.9, though, which implies defenses are keying on the Cincinnati running back.

Why Bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars?

Jacksonville has developed one of the leagues most feared defenses. The Jaguars force turnovers almost as well as the San Francisco 49ers.

Jacksonville’s D has allowed 30 or more points just twice this season. C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans surprised Jacksonville with 37 in a 37-13 Jaguars’ loss in NFL Week 3. Then in a game against the San Francisco 49ers, Brock Purdy led the Niners to 34 points in a 34-3 Jacksonville loss.

Josh Allen has turned into a superstar. Allen has 25 solo tackles, 2 forced fumbles, and 12.5 sacks. Josh could win the NFL Defensive Player of the Year award.

Cornerback Darious Williams has forced 2 fumbles to go along with 3 interceptions. Williams also has 26 solo tackles, which implies he’s a force against the run.

Trevor Lawrence has begun to get his feet underneath him. Lawrence completed 75% of his passes and threw for 262 yards and 2 touchdowns against Tennessee in a 34-14 Jaguars’ victory.

Then against the Houston Texans for first place in the AFC South, Lawrence out dueled C.J. Stroud with 364 yards and 1 TD performance.

Jaguars running back Travis Etienne has rushed for 726 yards and has scored 7 rushing touchdowns. Etienne has caught 36 passes this season.

Former Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Calvin Ridley and Lawrence have begun to develop a nice rapport. Ridley has caught 12 passes for a combined 192 yards and has caught 3 TDs in the Jaguars’ last 2 games.

Bengals vs. Jaguars Betting Trends

• Cincinnati is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games on the road.
• The Bengals are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games.
• The totals went under in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference South division.
• Jacksonville is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
• The Jaguars are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.
• The totals went under in 5 of Jacksonville’s last 7 games played in week 13.

Bengals vs. Jaguars Expert Betting Predictions

Not only is Jacksonville at one hundred percent while the Bengals are working through some injuries, but the trends suggest a Jaguars’ win and cover.

Jacksonville is excellent at home, going 3-1 ATS in their last 4. The Jags stumbled against the Niners in a recent game, but other than that failure, Jacksonville has paid their backers handsomely with 7-of-8 covers against the spread.

Overall, backing Jacksonville to cover has led to 8 scores and 3 losses. For sure, the Bengals will give it their all, but they just aren’t good enough, especially on offense right now, to keep this close.

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