Marlins vs. Phillies MLB Odds, Preview and Prediction – August 10, 2022

By Hank Blaine

The top pitching matchup around the major leagues on Tuesday appears to be from Seattle as Gerrit Cole looks to bounce back from a shockingly bad outing when he faces trade acquisition Luis Castillo and the Mariners.

Nitrobetting checks out the game in this preview. Get a complete look at the game information, team and player statistics, and the latest MLB betting odds. We also deliver timely betting trends and predictions that help you secure the best picks.

Marlins vs. Phillies Game Information

  • When: Wednesday, August 10, 2022, 7:05 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
  • TV: Bally Sports Florida, NBCSP
  • Radio: FOX Sports 940AM WINZ (Marlins) / 94 WIP (Mariners)
  • Live Stream:
  • MLB Odds: Marlins (+107) // Phillies (-123)

READ MORE: Yankees vs. Mariners MLB Odds, Preview and Prediction – August 9, 2022

Why bet on the Miami Marlins?

The Miami offense isn’t very good when the lineup is fully healthy, but that’s far from the case right now with All-Star second baseman Jazz Chisholm (may be done for year), third baseman Brian Anderson and outfielder Avisail Garcia all on the injured list. A left shoulder sent Anderson to the injured list back on July 24 but he’s rehabbing as we speak and getting close. Garcia will miss at least a week with a hamstring strain.

It’s ace right-hander and NL Cy Young favorite Sandy Alcantara on the mound here. Alcantara (10-4) gave up six hits and one walk while striking out three over nine scoreless innings to earn the win in a 3-0 victory over the Reds last Wednesday. Alcantara found himself in a bases-loaded jam in the first inning, due in part to his sloppy fielding on a softly hit grounder up the first base side of the diamond by Joey Votto. Despite throwing 22 pitches in the opening frame, the 26-year-old settled into a groove and needed only 83 to get through the next eight innings.

Alcantara’s performance moved him ahead of Framber Valdez for first in MLB with three complete games this season and lowered his ERA to a National League-leading 1.88. Alcantara’s six complete games since 2019 are tied with Cardinals veteran Adam Wainwright for the most in the majors in that span.

“I said this before: This is like an elevator,” Alcantara said. “You’re going to have up and down. Doesn’t matter what happens in any situation, just have to keep positive, and keep competing. I got a couple bad outings, and I don’t have to worry, because I’ve got time to improve and time to improve my pitches and time to go outside and compete.”

Why bet on the Philadelphia Phillies?

Phillies first baseman/DH Darick Hall sat Tuesday against the Marlins but should be back in the lineup Wednesday. Hall got a breather after he went 5-for-10 with three solo home runs and four runs scored in the three-game series versus the Nationals over the weekend. Shortstop Bryson Stott also got a day off Tuesday, sitting for the first time since July 29. Stott had gone 9-for-32 with a double, a triple, six RBI, three runs scored and a stolen base over eight straight starts.

The Phillies lost 14 of their first 20 games against the NL East this year but since that point, have won 20 of their last 26 games against the division. Over their last eight series against the NL East (since June 13 vs MIA), the Phillies are 6-1-1 with their only series loss coming June 28-30 against Atlanta.

Phillies interim manager Rob Thomson has guided the club to a 39-19 record in 58 games since he took over as skipper on June 3. Entering his first series as manager on June 3, the Phillies were 22-29 with a 4-11-1 series record. Since Thomson took over, the Phillies have gone 12-4-2 in series play.

This year, the Phillies are 49-16 when they score four or more runs (entering Tuesday) and they have won 14 straight and 30 of their last 32 games when doing so. When held to three or fewer, the Phillies are 11-32 this season.

It’s trade acquisition Noah Syndergaard on the mound here. Syndergaard (6-8) allowed four earned runs on 11 hits and no walks while striking out two across five innings to earn the win last Thursday against the Nationals. Of the 11 hits Syndergaard surrendered, only one went for extra bases. That allowed him to avoid a disastrous start in his debut with the Phillies, though he was forced to regularly work out of jams and managed only seven swinging strikes on 79 total pitches.

Syndergaard has allowed three or fewer earned runs in 12 of his 16 starts, which has resulted in a 4.02 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. He was traded from the Angels at the deadline. Last week was his first start since July 25, and just his second start since July 12. That is just two starts in 23 days. Rust was expected. They were the second-most hits he allowed in his career. He allowed a career-high 12 in 6 2/3 innings against the Phillies on Sept. 8, 2018, at Citi Field.

“The first two innings, I felt a little stiff,” he said. “New stadium, new team, new uniform. It was just kind of a shock. I was a little tense.”

Marlins vs. Phillies Betting Trends

  • Marlins are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games.
  • Miami is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against Philadelphia.
  • The total went under in 7 of Miami’s last 7 games.
  • Philadelphia is 6-0 SU in their last 6 games.
  • Phillies are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home.
  • The total went under in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games against Miami.

Marlins vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

Phillies 3, Marlins 2 (under 7.5 is best play).

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*All odds stated are subject to change without prior notice.