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Top Soccer Betting Picks of the Week – October 16, 2023

By Hank Blaine

After early in the week FIFA EURO Qualifying matches, top UEFA Leagues restart this weekend. Our best soccer plays for the week happen on Saturday and Sunday. We handicap and make picks for four Saturday games, including Chelsea hosting Arsenal and Brighton traveling to Man City. Then on Sunday, we make picks for a couple of rivalry matches when Barcelona hosts Athletic Bilbao and Juve travels to AC Milan. Keep reading for soccer odds, analysis, and free picks for six of this weekend’s top soccer matches.

Top Soccer Betting Picks of the Week (October 16, 2023)

English Premier League

Manchester City vs. Brighton & Hove Albion

Neither squad is playing well. But when it comes to Premier League matches, the Sky Blues are in worse form than Brighton. Man City’s lone victory in their last 4 was versus RB Leipzig in a Champions League match.

The Citizens have fallen to Arsenal, Wolverhampton, and Newcastle in their last 3. In the Sky Blues’ defense, all 3 matches happened on the road. Brighton has drawn in their last couple of games. So if Brighton falls, it’s doubtful they fall by more than a goal.

Soccer Betting Pick: Brighton & Hove Albion

Chelsea vs. Arsenal

Each team has won 3 of their last 4. One of the difference’s between the two is that Arsenal’s loss came versus Lens in a Champions League road match. The Gunners beat Brentford, Bournemouth, and Man City.

Another difference is that Chelsea’s 3 wins have come in their last 3. The Blues will find it tough to beat the Gunners on Saturday but the odds make the home team an overlay. So backing the home squad makes sense.

Soccer Betting Pick: Chelsea

La Liga

Sevilla vs. Real Madrid

Sevilla doesn’t have horrendous form. But the home team shouldn’t beat Real or even force a draw versus the road chalk.

Real has won 4 straight. During the streak, El Blanco has yielded 2 goals. Both goals came in a 3-2 road victory over Napoli in a Champions League match. Madrid should win this in regulation, no problem.

Soccer Betting Pick: Real Madrid

Barcelona vs. Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao lost to Real Sociedad on Sep 30 but in their next match, they bounced back with a terrific 3-0 victory against Almeria on Oct 6.

Barcelona has won 3-of-5 with a couple of draws. Both draws came in road matches. Barca has won the last couple of head-to-head matches and this happens at Camp Nou.

Expect Barcelona to not only win but win impressively. If you see a -1.5 handicap line that has a plus even money payout on the home team, consider betting it.

Soccer Betting Pick: Barcelona

Serie A

Torino vs. Inter Milan

Torino isn’t playing well enough to challenge the road favorite. The home team has lost 2 and drawn twice in their last 4.

Inter Milan has 3 wins, a loss, and a draw in their last 5. The chalk is also 2-0 in the last couple of head-to-head matches. If that weren’t enough of a reason to back Inter, the odds make the road squad an overlay. Bet the chalk to cash.

Soccer Betting Pick: Inter Milan

AC Milan vs. Juventus

Juventus is playing well enough to pull off the upset victory, but it makes no sense to go against AC Milan. The odds difference isn’t enough because this happens at the Giuseppe Meaza and AC Milan is playing great soccer.

Not only has AC Milan won 4-of-5 with a draw, but the draw came in a Champions League match on the road. AC drew 0-0 against Borussia Dortmund on Oct 4. On Sunday, Milan shows why they are the team to beat in Serie A.

Soccer Betting Pick: AC Milan

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*All stated odds are subject to change without prior notice.

READ MORE: Top Soccer Betting Picks of the Week – October 23, 2023