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Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Super Bowl LV Odds, Preview, & Picks

By Hank Blaine

The stage is set for Super Bowl LV. The AFC will be represented by the Kansas City Chiefs (again), while the NFC will be bannered by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who are returning to the event for the first time since 2003.

Tom Brady returns to the big stage after leaving the Patriots and started a new chapter with Bucs this season. Patrick Mahomes is looking to overcome the GOAT in his second Super Bowl. It’s a battle of the Quarterbacks indeed. Let’s take a closer a look at the latest Super Bowl LV betting odds, along with an expert preview and pick!

Super Bowl LV Game Information

Are the Kansas City Chiefs a Safe Bet for Super Bowl LV?

The Chiefs are a scary team. After two masterful performances in the playoffs, with wins over the Cleveland Browns in the Divisional Round and against the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship Game, the Chiefs have made abundantly clear why they are the favorite to win in Super Bowl LV.

The Chiefs demolished Josh Allen and the Bills despite the fact that Patrick Mahomes wasn’t 100 percent healthy. It could be remembered that Mahomes suffered a concussion in the Browns game and played with a nagging turf toe against the Bills. None of those mattered, as he passed for 325 yards and three touchdowns in the AFC title game.

With two weeks of rest before Super Bowl 55, Mahomes should be able to recover from any body aches. A healthy Mahomes means more trouble for Tampa Bay, which got a taste of the quarterback’s wrath back in Week 12 when the Chiefs visited the Bucs at Raymond James Stadium and scored a 27-24 victory. Mahomes went 37 of 49 for 462 passing yards and three touchdowns while not throwing a single interception, thus easily outplaying Tom Brady.

Are the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a Safe Bet for Super Bowl LV?

The Bucs endured a so-so performance by Brady in the NFC title game, as the team put up a tremendous effort defensively to beat the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field, 31-26.

It’s not easy to beat a quarterback like Aaron Rodgers, but that’s exactly what Tampa Bay’s stop unit did, as the Bucs laid the Packers’ signal-caller down five times. The Bucs’ pass rush was all over Rodgers like sauce on spaghetti, making sure that Green Bay felt the absence of tackle David Bakhtiari.

But the defense can only do so much for Tampa Bay, so Brady and the Bucs’ offense will have to put up enough points on the board for insurance in case this game turns into a shootout. In that case, the Bucs have the weapons to engage Kansas City. Mike Evans, Ronald Jones, Leonard Fournette, Chris Godwin, and Rob Gronkowski.

If Antonio Brown, who sat out the NFC title game with a knee issue, will be cleared to play, then Tampa Bay’s offense will be extra stacked.

Super Bowl LV Betting Trends

  • The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last five games in the playoffs as the favorite.
  • The Chiefs are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after a contest in which they covered the spread.
  • The Chiefs are 11-5 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a record above .500.
  • The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as the underdog.
  • The Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
  • The Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a record above .500.

Read: Super Bowl LV Betting Props

Super Bowl LV Expert Prediction

The Chiefs are the favorites for a reason. For one, they are the defending Super Bowl champions. They have also looked menacingly good offensively this season. Their losses to the Las Vegas Raiders and the Los Angeles Chargers looked more like anomalies than results of a troubling factor. When the Chiefs want to score, most of the time, they will. When the Chiefs defeated Tampa Bay, they only committed one turnover and racked up 543 total yards. Again, that’s against the Bucs’ elite stop unit that finished the regular season second overall in Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA). It wouldn’t be the greatest shocker in the world if the Chiefs beat and cover the spread against Tampa Bay on Feb. 7.

The Bucs, on the other hand, are confident in their defense. When the Bucs repeatedly mauled Rodgers in the pocket in the NFC Championship Game, they did so against Green Bay’s offensive line that was without its most important piece in Bakhtiari. The Chiefs will also be missing a vital part of Mahomes’ protection unit, with left tackle Eric Fisher reportedly out for Super Bowl 55 after suffering an Achilles injury.

Bucs pass rushers Shauil Barrett and Jason Pierre-Paul licking their chops right now at the prospect of tossing Mahomes to the ground. Back in the regular season, the Bucs were 10th in the NFL with a 6.88 defensive sack percentage. At the end of the day, the Bucs will be defined by what Brady does in the pocket, and this being his 10th time in the grandest stage of football, do you really want to bet against arguably the greatest of all time?

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*All stated odds are subject to change without prior notice.