Top NFC Super Bowl LVIII Favorites Betting Stats

By Hank Blaine • August 24, 2023

When it comes to the NFC squads favored to win Super Bowl 58, the Eagles and 49ers offer less than +1000 odds. But after Philly and SF, the other three NFC chalks, Dallas, Detroit, and Seattle, offer odds no less than +1375. Check out last year’s ATS, SU, and O/U betting stats for the top five Super Bowl favorites in the NFC as well as a betting stat analysis for 2023.

Betting Stats On The Top Five NFC Super Bowl LVIII Favorites

The best teams at HOME in the NFC since 1970.

Any surprises?! #NFL pic.twitter.com/wZzm1CxWtZ
— Sunday Night Football on NBC (@SNFonNBC) August 21, 2023

Odds to Win Super Bowl LVIII

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Philadelphia Eagles

2022 SU Record: 14-3
2022 ATS Record: 8-9
2022 O/U Record: 10-7

For Philadelphia, the key to repeating the straight-up record will come down to how well the Eagles’ linebackers perform.

Unless Jalen Carter turns out to be a first round pick dud, the defensive line should be stellar. But the linebackers could struggle, which would lead to immense pressure on the secondary.

Philadelphia should lose at least 2 more games. So a 12-5 record is the call. The ATS record will be the same while the over-under record will go to 9-8.

San Francisco 49ers

2022 SU Record: 13-4
2022 ATS Record: 11-6
2022 O/U Record: 9-8

If Brock Purdy turns into one of the NFL’s better signal-callers, the Niners should win at least 1 more game. Purdy went 4-for-5 for 65 yards and a 13 yards per completion average in the 49ers’ second preseason game.

It’s difficult to call a 15-2 straight up record. But 14-3 is doable.

The 49ers won’t, though, play as well against the spread as they did in 2022. Oddsmakers fumbled SF spread lines because the Niners went through three different quarterbacks. It’s amazing how the team won 13 games.

The 49ers will go 9-8 ATS in 2023. Expect San Francisco games to have the same 9-8 O/U record as 2022.

Dallas Cowboys

2022 SU Record: 12-5
2022 ATS Record: 9-7-1
2022 O/U Record: 8-8-1

The NFC East plays the AFC East this season. So the Boys must tackle the Bills, Jets, Patriots, and Dolphins.

Betting any of those teams won’t be easy. Also, the Giants and Commanders will be better in 2023. Philadelphia will be either the best or second-best team in the conference. Dallas goes 10-7 straight up.

The Cowboys should cover in most of their wins. So the ATS record will be 9-8. The O/U record should land at 8-9 because Dallas won’t score as many points versus the improved defenses in the division.

Detroit Lions

2022 SU Record: 9-8
2022 ATS Record: 12-5
2022 O/U Record: 10-7

The Lions are the NFC North’s best squad. Jared Goff will love having Jahmyr Gibbs in the backfield. Gibbs has amazing hands and blazing speed. He could be a Thurman Thomas clone.

No doubt, Detroit improves their straight-up record. The Lions project to win at least 10 games. So a 10-7 record is more than possible.

While the Lions will win more games SU, they will los more games ATS. The ATS record doesn’t come close to 12-5. Expect a more realistic 9-8 against the spread stat.

The O/U on Lions’ games should reach the 10-7 mark, just like last season. No defense will stop Detroit’s offense and Detroit’s defense will be better but not great.

Seattle Seahawks

2022 SU Record: 9-8
2022 ATS Record: 7-10
2022 O/U Record: 8-9

The Seahawks should post a similar straight-up record. First round pick Jaxon Smith-Njigba will undergo wrist surgery. So the Seahawks won’t have Smith-Njigba’s services for at least 6 weeks.

What it means is that Seattle doesn’t win more games than they did in 2022. The Seahawks go 9-8 SU. Seattle should win one more game against the spread than last season.

The Seahawks defense will be better with Bobby Wagner back at middle linebacker. Seattle goes 8-9 ATS. Another 8-9 O/U record, especially because Wagner will help the Seahawks allow fewer points this season, is probable.

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*All stated odds are subject to change without prior notice.