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UFC 291 Sleeper Picks

By Jeff Stinger

July isn’t over and yet the UFC is about to deliver another premier pay-per-event to close out the month with UFC 291: Poirier and Gaethje 2. The rematch between the titular fighters is fighting for the symbolic “BMF” title this weekend and there are plenty of upsets waiting to happen from the main card apart from the main event itself.

Nitrobetting is here to train bettors in the realm of combat sports with in-depth coverage of the latest UFC events. This time, let’s take a closer look at the three best sleeper candidates to win their respective bouts in UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 and their corresponding MMA odds to win the latest premium live MMA event set to take place in Salt Lake City.

Top UFC 291 Sleeper Picks

READ MORE: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 UFC 291 Odds and Preview

Justin Gaethje vs. Dustin Poirier

It’s strange to consider Justin Gaethje as an underdog in any bout he’s in. Then again, the former UFC lightweight champion did lose his first meeting against Dustin Poirier via TKO back in 2018, which is why many consider Diamond Dustin as the favorite to win the rematch as well.

However, Both Gaethje and Poirier have won one and lost one of their past couple of matches respectively, giving neither fighter any edge in momentum. Gaethje does pack a bigger punch with 19 of his 24 career MMA wins being knockouts and 9 of his 11 fights in the UFC have earned him either a Fight of the Night or Performance of the Night bonus. This makes “The Highlight” a fan favorite to exact his revenge in this rivalry and less of a sleeper based on his current odds.

UFC 291 Betting Pick: Justin Gaethje

Tony Ferguson vs. Bobby Green

Yes, 39-year-old Tony Ferguson is on a dismal five-fight skid and could very well hang up his gloves if he continues to regress this badly. On the other hand, the former lightweight champ has faced the best of the best in the division during his losing streak, namelytop-flight names in Charles Oliveira, Michael Chandler, Nate Diaz, and even Gaethje himself.

Ferguson’s next opponent, Bobby Green, is quite the step down in competition level. Green has looked far from his moniker as the “King” of the Octagon, going winless with a no-contest in his last three fights. That being said, and despite having the worst underdog odds on the main card as we speak, Ferguson has a great chance to defy his critics and end his win streak against a weaker opponent of his caliber.

UFC 291 Betting Pick: Tony Ferguson

Michael Chiesa vs. Kevin Holland

Back-to-back losses have also put “Maverick” Michael Chiesa on the back foot in his upcoming welterweight matchup this weekend. Not only that, but his opponent, Kevin Holland, had just broken his own two-fight winless drought recently with a win over Santiago Ponzinibbio this past April.

Before his two-fight slide, Chiesa had a ton of momentum by going on a four-fight win streak with three of those victories being unanimous decisions that went the full distance. Holland’s record has been spotty at best, going 3-4 with one no-contest in his last eight fights. Only two of those eight bouts went the distance and Holland lost both of those affairs. That means that if Chiesa can weather the Kung Fu expert’s early flurry, then he could very well reward his backers with a nice payday despite his slight underdog status.

UFC 291 Betting Pick: Michael Chiesa

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*All odds stated are subject to change without prior notice.