White Sox vs. Mets MLB Odds, Preview and Prediction – July 19, 2023

By Hank Blaine • July 19, 2023

Both the Chicago White Sox and New York Mets had playoff expectations entering this season but it appears that neither will get there as the disappointing clubs meet in Queens on Wednesday night with New York heavily favored behind three-time Cy Young Award winner Justin Verlander. The Mets swept the White Sox three games in Chicago the last time the teams met during the 2019 season.

Nitrobetting checks out the game in this preview. Get a complete look at the game information, team and player statistics, and the latest MLB odds. We also deliver timely betting trends and predictions that help you secure the best picks.

White Sox vs. Mets Game Information

Game one dub. #MetsWin #LGM pic.twitter.com/x6jhONiNTV
— New York Mets (@Mets) July 19, 2023

When: Wednesday, July 19, 2023, 7:10 PM ET
Where: Citi Field, New York City, NY
TV: ATTH, BSW, MLBN
Radio: WMVP AM 1000 (White Sox) // WCBS 880 AM (Mets)
Live Stream: MLB.tv
MLB Odds: White Sox (-123) // Mets (-112)

Why bet on the Chicago White Sox?

The White Sox reportedly are open for business ahead of the trade deadline and everyone is available other than starting pitcher Dylan Cease and sluggers Luis Robert, a 2023 All-Star, Eloy Jimenez and Andrew Vaughn. Jimenez injured his groin on Sunday and missed Tuesday’s game. He likely won’t play Wednesday, either, at a minimum. Unfortunately, injuries are a trend with Jimenez as since debuting in 2019, he’s had only one full season over 100 games. Jimenez is batting .269 with 12 homers and 40 RBI.

Chicago is 10-14 vs. the National League this season (2-6 series mark), going 4-8 at Guaranteed Rate Field and 6-6 on the road. The White Sox have lost 11 of their past 19 interleague games. Robert Jr. is hitting .345/.391/.750 (29-84) with eight home runs, 24 RBI and a 1.141 OPS in 22 games vs. the N.L. Robert competed in the All-Star Home Run Derby and became the first Sox center fielder (primary position) to make the AL All-Star team since Chet Lemon from 1978-79.

The White Sox this season are 32-32 when homering, 16-11 in multi-homer games and 8-23 when homerless. Robert (2nd, 26) and Jake Burger (5th, 20) rank among the AL leaders in 2023. Burger is the first Chicago third baseman with a 20-homer season since Yoán Moncada (25) in 2019.

It’s Touki Toussaint (0-1) on the mound Wednesday for Chicago. Since joining the White Sox in late June, Toussaint has compiled a 3.10 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 20:13 K:BB across 20.1 innings. Toussaint recorded a season-high 5.1 innings Friday at Atlanta, working as a reliever. He threw 97 pitches, the most by a White Sox reliever since Hector Santiago (100) on 9/24/2019 vs. Cleveland. Toussaint began the year in Cleveland’s farm system and has pitched admirably filling in for injured starter Mike Clevinger since joining the Sox.

Why bet on the New York Mets?

New York’s Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are one of four pairs of teammates to have 60 or more RBI this season, joining the Los Angeles Dodgers’ Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman and J.D. Martinez, Atlanta’s Matt Olson and Ozzie Ablies, and Adolis Garcis and Jonah Heim on the Texas Rangers. Francisco Alvarez has 17 homers, tied with Sean Murphy for the most by a catcher in the majors and the third-most among rookies. Alvarez has eclipsed Travis d’Arnaud’s previous franchise record for home runs by a rookie catcher.

It’s ace right-hander Justin Verlander on the mound. Verlander (3-5) took the loss Friday, giving up three runs on two hits and six walks over five innings as the Mets fell 6-0 to the Dodgers. He struck out six. The 40-year-old threw only 59 of 104 pitches for strikes, but Verlander still held Los Angeles off the board until finally cracking in the fifth inning. The six free passes were his most in a start since 2017. In eight starts since the beginning of June, he has a 3.00 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 41:19 K:BB through 45 innings — solid numbers, but well below his usual standards.

Verlander will be making his 48th career start against the White Sox. He’s faced the Pale Hose more than any team besides the Guardians and is 22-14 with a 3.72 ERA and 283 punchouts across 316.2 innings. The Mets are 27-5 when the starting pitcher throws at least 6.0 innings. New York has gone 11-1 when its starter pitches 7.0+ innings and is a perfect 4-0 when the starter completes 8.0 innings.

It’s not out of the question that the Mets shop Verlander ahead of the trade deadline, but he’s making $46 million this year and next so not many teams can take that contract. Closer David Robertson and outfielder Tommy Pham have been mentioned as players more likely to be dealt away if the ball club opts to sell.

White Sox vs. Mets Betting Trends

White Sox are 3-7 SU in the last 10 games.
White Sox are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against NY Mets.
The total went under in 7 of Chi White Sox’s last 10 games.
NY Mets are 8-4 SU in the last 12 games.
NY Mets are 14-4 SU in its last 18 games played in July.
The total went under in 6 of NY Mets’ last 9 games.

White Sox vs. Mets Betting Prediction

Mets 4, White Sox 2.

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*All odds stated are subject to change without prior notice.