The top pitching matchup around the major leagues on Tuesday appears to be from Seattle as Gerrit Cole looks to bounce back from a shockingly bad outing when he faces trade acquisition Luis Castillo and the Mariners.

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Yankees vs. Mariners Game Information

Luis Castillo takes the T-Mobile Park mound for the first time as a Mariner tomorrow at 7:10 p.m. pic.twitter.com/gYHafLOBkQ

— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) August 9, 2022

• When: Tuesday, August 9, 2022, 10:10 PM ET
• Where: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
• TV: YES, ROOTNW
• Radio: WFAN 660 (Yankees) / KIRO 710 (Mariners)
• Live Stream: MLB.tv
• MLB Odds: Yankees (-130) // Mariners (+110)

READ MORE: Marlins vs. Phillies MLB Odds, Preview and Prediction – August 10, 2022

Why bet on the New York Yankees?

Yankees outfielder/DH Giancarlo Stanton has been on the injured list with left Achilles tendonitis since July 26, retroactive to July 24, but might be ready this weekend. He hasn’t played since he homered in the 2022 MLB All-Star Game in Los Angeles on July 19. Stanton was hitting .228 with 24 homers, 61 RBI and a .807 OPS through 289 at-bats.

After missing most of 2019 with injuries and playing DH exclusively in 2020, the Yankees increased Stanton’s outfield workload last year, and this year he’s played more games in the outfield (38) than at DH (37). But he missed 10 days with a calf injury in May, and now is out with an Achilles issue. The Yankees may cut back on his outfield time in an effort to keep him on the field. New York is also hoping to get two relievers off the injured list in Zack Britton (Tommy John surgery) and Miguel Castro (shoulder) in September.

Cole is supposed to be the Yankees’ ace and is the highest-paid pitcher in MLB history but he has looked like anything but an ace of late. Cole (9-4) faced the Mariners at Yankee Stadium last Wednesday and allowed up six runs on seven hits — including three home runs — and a walk over six innings. He struck out eight. All six runs scored in the first inning as Eugenio Suarez, Carlos Santana and Jarred Kelenic took Cole deep.

It was the most runs Cole has given up in a single inning in his career, surpassing the five runs he allowed in the first inning against the Twins on June 9. Cole exited vs. Seattle after 103 pitches (69 strikes) and saw his ERA rise to 3.56.

The Yankees need Cole to be nails just about all the time. Yet they have won just two of his last five decisions, and he’s got a 4.97 ERA over his last six starts. Cole still spends most of his days as a commanding pitcher with superlative stuff. He has also had five different starts this year in which he has surrendered at least five runs, including the last two.

Why bet on the Seattle Mariners?

Seattle remains without AL Rookie of the Year favorite and outfielder Julio Rodriguez due to a wrist injury but he could be back as soon as Wednesday and likely not later than Friday. Wednesday would represent the first day Rodriguez is eligible to return from the 10-day injured list, but the Mariners could take a more cautious approach and bring him back following Thursday’s off day before the team opens a series on the road with the Rangers this weekend.

In 95 games this season, Rodríguez is batting .271 with 55 runs, 19 doubles, 2 triples, 18 home runs, 57 RBI, 28 walks and 21 stolen bases, getting on base at a .334 clip and slugging .482 with an .816 OPS. Among MLB rookies, the 21-year-old center fielder ranks 2nd in hits (99), 1st in runs, 1st in home runs, 1st in RBI and T1st in stolen bases (21). Rodriguez leads all rookies in bWAR (4.0), 1st in OPS+ (134) and 1st in wRC+ (135).

Catcher Curt Casali (oblique) went 2-for-3 with an RBI on Sunday in a minor league rehab game for Triple-A Tacoma. Casali was acquired from the Giants at last week’s trade deadline and is progressing towards making his Mariners debut at some point in the near future. The 33-year-old has been out since early July due to a right oblique strain. Seattle lost another catcher, Tom Murphy, to a season-ending injury earlier this year.

Castillo (5-4) made his Seattle debut opposite Cole last week and got the win, allowing three runs on five hits and three walks over 6.2 innings. He struck out eight. Castillo held New York mostly in check until fading late and serving up a two-run shot to Kyle Higashioka in the seventh inning. The right-hander fired 66 of 109 pitches for strikes while delivering his sixth straight quality start and ninth in 10 outings since the beginning of June, and Castillo boasts a 2.77 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 70:23 K:BB through 65 innings over that stretch.

Seattle paid a hefty price to get Castillo from Cincinnati — consensus top-50 prospects Noelvi Marte and Edwin Arroyo, plus two others — and it was for games like Wednesday’s, matching up against another contender’s ace. We could see Cole vs. Castillo again in the postseason.

Yankees vs. Mariners Betting Trends

• Giants are 1-10 in their last 11 Thursday games.
• Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
• The total went under in 4 of San Francisco’s last 6 games against an opponent in the National League West Division division.
• Dodgers are 49-15 in their last 64 home games.
• Dodgers are 50-22 in their last 72 during game 1 of a series.
• The total went over in 4 of LA Dodgers’ last 6 games.

Yankees vs. Mariners Betting Prediction

Mariners 4 Yankees 3 (Seattle is 6-0 in its past six on Tuesday).

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