2023 NFL Week 12 Sleeper Picks

NFL Week 12 doesn’t present us with many big time money line plays. In fact, there are only a handful of sleeper picks worth handicapping and backing. Still, like in every NFL week this season, there are some money lines that don’t make sense. Check out NFL odds, analysis, and free picks for six moneyline plays that could pad the bankroll.

Top Sleeper Picks for 2023 NFL Week 12

NFL Defenses – Entering Week 12 pic.twitter.com/uiz9UaRMfM

— SumerSports (@SumerSports) November 22, 2023

READ MORE: 2023 NFL Week 12 Odds, Overview & Picks

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons

• When: Sunday, November 26th, 2023. 1:00pm EST.
• Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
• NFL Odds: Saints (-110) // Falcons (-110)

Atlanta is going back to second year starter Desmond Ridder. The former Cincinnati Bearcat is terrific at home. He always gives his best in front of the ATL fans.

But the New Orleans Saints know that if they beat the Falcons on the road on Sunday, their path to the NFC South title is all but assured. The Saints have a game lead over the Falcons and the rest of the schedule isn’t all that difficult save for a matchup versus Detroit next Sunday. N’Awlins prevails.

2023 NFL Week 12 Pick: New Orleans Saints

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Indianapolis Colts

• When: Sunday, November 26th, 2023. 1:00pm EST.
• Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
• NFL Odds: Buccaneers (+114) // Colts (-139)

The Colts are a good football team. After 3 straight losses to the Jaguars, Browns, and Saints, three of the better squads in the league, Indy bounced back with wins over the Panthers and Patriots.

2 straight wins is one of the reasons we’ve soured on the Colts this Sunday. It’s difficult seeing Indianapolis winning a third straight. Not only that, but Baker Mayfield led the Buccaneers to a win over the Tennessee Titans a couple of games ago. The Bucs beating another AFC South squad makes sense.

2023 NFL Week 12 Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals

• When: Sunday, November 26th, 2023. 1:00pm EST.
• Where: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
• NFL Odds: Steelers (-123) // Bengals (+102)

Joe Burrow won’t play another down this season. This time, Burrow’s injury is to his wrist. Without Burrow, the Bengals have almost zero shot of making it to the playoffs.

The AFC is too deep. So with Burrow absent, Cincy is done. When it comes to this game, the Steelers offense should be better on Sunday than it has been all season long. The change in offensive coordinators will do the trick.

On the other side, Burrow’s backup, Jake Browning, is in trouble. The Steelers defense is one of the best in the NFL. So Pittsburgh gets it done.

2023 NFL Week 12 Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans

• When: Sunday, November 26th, 2023. 1:00pm EST.
• Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
• NFL Odds: Jaguars (-127) // Texans (+103)

Jacksonville is going to be tough to beat. However, the Jags may not take Houston as seriously as they should. The Texans have gotten better with each victory.

The defense is solid. On offense, C.J. Stroud is playing at an MVP level. This happens on Houston’s field, which is another reason to make the Texans the pick.

2023 NFL Week 12 Pick: Houston Texans

New England Patriots vs. New York Giants

• When: Sunday, November 26th, 2023. 1:00pm EST.
• Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
• NFL Odds: Patriots (-189) // Giants (+150)

It makes zero sense why the New England Patriots are the favorites. For some reason, Bill Belichick always struggles against the New York Giants.

So history is on the side of the G-Men. Also, the Giants were terrific in NFL Week 11, blasting the rival Washington Commanders 31-17. Giants win straight up.

2023 NFL Week 12 Pick: New York Giants

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders

• When: Sunday, November 26th, 2023. 4:25pm EST.
• Where: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
• NFL Odds: Chiefs (-435) // Raiders (+327)

The KC Chiefs have lost 2-of-3. 1 of the 2 losses was downright ugly, 24-9 on the road against the Denver Broncos. The other loss was a 21-17 home game against the Philadelphia Eagles.

KC isn’t playing great football. Also, Chiefs versus Raiders is one of the league’s most bitter rivalries. In addition, Vegas has played decent ball, beating the Giants and Jets and losing to the Dolphins by just 7 on the road. Raiders all the way.

2023 NFL Week 12 Pick: Las Vegas Raiders

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