Numerous underdog squads in NFL Week 4 have a real shot of upsetting their favored opponents. The Atlanta Falcons are a +125 dog against Jacksonville, the Bears are a +137 underdog at home against Denver, and the Bucs are +131 dogs on the road against the rival New Orleans Saints. Check out NFL odds on the top sleeper picks to win during NFL Week 4.

Top Sleeper Picks for 2023 NFL Week 4

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— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) September 27, 2023

Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

• When: Sunday, October 1st, 2023. 9:30am EST.
• Where: Wembley Stadium, London
• NFL Odds: Falcons (+136) // Jaguars (-164)

Jacksonville is getting the benefit of the doubt even though the Jags could do nothing to stop an offense led by rookie C.J. Stroud in last Sunday’s loss to the Texans. The defeat came on Jacksonville’s field.

On Sunday, the Jags face Bijan Robinson and the Atlanta Falcons rushing attack. The ATL’s defense is solid. It yielded 20 points to the Lions on the road in week 3. Atlanta wins.

2023 NFL Week 4 Pick: Atlanta Falcons

Denver Broncos vs. Chicago Bears

• When: Sunday, October 1st, 2023. 1:00pm EST.
• Where: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
• NFL Odds: Broncos (-172) // Bears (+143)

It’s difficult to understand why the Bears are money line underdogs. The game happens at Soldier Field and Justin Fields, Chicago’s starting quarterback, has more options to run and pass than the Broncos’ Russell Wilson.

The only thing we can gather is that mystique surrounding head coach Sean Payton remains. But Payton’s team gave up 70 points in NFL Week 3. Yeah, after that, nobody can call Sean a genius coach.

2023 NFL Week 4 Pick: Chicago Bears

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints

• When: Sunday, October 1st, 2023. 1:00pm EST.
• Where: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
• NFL Odds: Buccaneers (+142) // Saints (-175)

The Saints have big time advantages in this. The game happens at the Superdome in New Orleans. The Saints D-Line has an edge over Tampa’s offensive line and New Orleans gets Alvin Kamara back from a suspension.

But although the Saints have advantages to get the win, the Bucs always play the Saints tough. In addition, QB Derek Carr is out, which means New Orleans must start Jameis Winston.

2023 NFL Week 4 Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns

• When: Sunday, October 1st, 2023. 1:00pm EST.
• Where: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland, OH
• NFL Odds: Ravens (+126) // Browns (-152)

10 starters for the Baltimore Ravens are listed as questionable. That’s the key word, though, right? Questionable? When it comes to NFL injury reports, there’s a huge difference between questionable and doubtful.

Questionable means all 10 could play. Even if half play, the Ravens win this. The reason is that there’s no way Cleveland doesn’t bounce after dominating Tennessee in their NFL Week 3 victory.

One of the reasons we’re so sure is because Deshaun Watson played the best game he ever has as a Cleveland Brown. It’s going to be difficult, if not impossible, for Deshaun to repeat the performance.

Also, the Ravens fell to the Colts in their NFL Week 3 contest. Baltimore won’t lose 2 straight.

2023 NFL Week 4 Pick: Baltimore Ravens

Minnesota Vikings vs. Carolina Panthers

• When: Sunday, October 1st, 2023. 1:00pm EST.
• Where: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
• NFL Odds: Vikings (-213) // Panthers (+174)

On paper, Minnesota should rout the Carolina Panthers. But the Vikings are on a 3 games losing streak and blew a chance to beat the Chargers at home in week 3.

Minnesota could be one of those teams that no matter the opponent, finds a way to shoot themselves in the foot. The Vikings face a Carolina Panthers squad at home and that played well versus Seattle until late. The snakebit Vikings go to 0-4.

2023 NFL Week 4 Pick: Carolina Panthers

New England Patriots vs. Dallas Cowboys

• When: Sunday, October 1st, 2023. 4:25pm EST.
• Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
• NFL Odds: Patriots (+233) // Cowboys (-294)

Everybody is expecting Dallas to bounce back from one of the biggest upsets of the year, a loss to the Arizona Cardinals as a -12.5 chalk. The Cowboys, though, could lose their second straight.

On Sunday, the Boys face a New England Patriots team whose offense has begun to gel. The Pats scored 15 under horrible conditions on the road against the New York Jets defense. The Jets boast one of the top defenses in the NFL.

Mac Jones and his mates faces a Cowboys D that might be average at best without star cornerback Tevan Diggs. On the opposite side of the ball, Bill Belichick should employ a strategy to forces Dak Prescott into throwing at least 1 pick. The Patriots can beat the Boys in Arlington.

2023 NFL Week 4 Pick: New England Patriots

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READ MORE: 2023 NFL Week 4 Odds, Overview & Picks