NFL Week 5 has numerous games that qualify as sleeper picks. The New Orleans Saints travel to New England a +100 choice, Pittsburgh hosts Baltimore at overlay money line odds, and the Cardinals are home dogs versus the reeling Cincinnati Bengals. See below for NFL odds, analysis, and free picks for the top sleeper plays in NFL Week 5.

Top Sleeper Picks for 2023 NFL Week 5

Where is your favorite team in the standings after Week 4? pic.twitter.com/sbZAO4W6YC

— NFL (@NFL) October 3, 2023

New Orleans Saints vs. New England Patriots

• When: Sunday, October 8th, 2023. 1:00pm EST.
• Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
• NFL Odds: Saints (+106) // Patriots (-125)

The Saints didn’t play well in their last, a loss to the NFC South rival Tampa Bay Buccaneers. But although New Orleans played an awful game, the Saints should be the chalk in this matchup.

Yes, the Patriots made a trade with the Chargers that returns cornerback J.C. Jackson to New England. However, Jackson will be on an island because Christian Gonzalez and Jonathan Jones are both out. The real reason to like New Orleans is that Matthew Judon also won’t suit up. Saints win SU.

2023 NFL Week 5 Pick: New Orleans Saints

Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

• When: Sunday, October 8th, 2023. 1:00pm EST.
• Where: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
• NFL Odds: Ravens (-222) // Steelers (+176)

Baltimore is one of the best teams in the NFL. However, this is a rivalry game. Not only is this a rivalry contest but the Steelers battle Baltimore on their field.

In addition, Mike Tomlin should devise a strategy, like he seems to do every season, to contain Lamar Jackson. All of the factors add up to the Steelers winning this straight up.

2023 NFL Week 5 Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers

Houston Texans vs. Atlanta Falcons

• When: Sunday, October 8th, 2023. 1:00pm EST.
• Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
• NFL Odds: Texans (+107) // Falcons (-125)

The Falcons have some pieces that will make it difficult for the Texans to escape with a win. But Houston has an huge edge at the most important position on the field, quarterback.

C.J. Stroud is the real deal. The dude dominated the Pittsburgh Steelers last Sunday. The ATL has an advantage because this is on their home field, but Stroud is playing like a pro bowler. So Houston gets the nod.

2023 NFL Week 5 Pick: Houston Texans

Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts

• When: Sunday, October 8th, 2023. 1:00pm EST.
• Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
• NFL Odds: Titans (-133) // Colts (+104)

Both teams boast great rushing attacks. The difference is that Tennessee’s rushing defense is slightly better than Indianapolis’.

Also, as good as Anthony Richardson and Zack Moss are at rushing the football, Derrick Henry is a future hall of famer. The Titans tend to blow it on the road. So by no means is this a lock pick but Henry and the Tennessee rush defense should lead the Titans to a division win.

2023 NFL Week 5 Pick: Tennessee Titans

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Arizona Cardinals

• When: Sunday, October 8th, 2023. 4:05pm EST.
• Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
• NFL Odds: Bengals (-161) // Cardinals (+135)

The Bengals rush for 70 yards per game, which will be an issue versus the Cardinals. Arizona has a decent defense.

Also, the Cards will control the line of scrimmage with their excellent rushing attack. So Cincinnati, as crazy it sounds, could fall to 1-4.

2023 NFL Week 5 Pick: Arizona Cardinals

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Los Angeles Rams

• When: Sunday, October 8th, 2023. 4:05pm EST.
• Where: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
• NFL Odds: Eagles (-213) // Rams (+175)

No doubt, the Philadelphia Eagles are going to move the football. Ah, but so will the Rams.

In fact, Los Angeles has the advantage because Puka Nacua and running back Kyren Williams will beat Philly’s linebackers and secondary players. So if Matthew Stafford can get the ball out before the Eagles’ D line gets to him, the Rams will hand Jalen Hurts and his mates their first loss of the season.

2023 NFL Week 5 Pick: Los Angeles Rams

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Minnesota Vikings

• When: Sunday, October 8th, 2023. 4:25pm EST.
• Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
• NFL Odds: Chiefs (-204) // Vikings (+106)

Kansas City almost blew a 17-0 lead over Zach Wilson and the New York Jets in their last. So the Chiefs aren’t locks to win this game.

In addition, the Vikings scored their first win of the season and it was legit. Minnesota held the Panthers to 13 points in the 21-13 victory. Vikings start a streak.

2023 NFL Week 5 Pick: Minnesota Vikings

New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos

• When: Sunday, October 8th, 2023. 4:25pm EST.
• Where: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
• NFL Odds: Jets (+106) // Broncos (-125)

For sure, Denver played great to rally from 28 down and beat the Chicago Bears 31-28. However, the wrong team is the chalk in this matchup.

The Jets’ defense won’t allow 2 touchdowns in this, much less 4. Also, New York Jets quarterback Zach Wilson completed over 72% of his passes for 279 yards and threw 3 touchdowns versus a much better defense, Kansas City’s, than Denver’s in NFL Week 4.

2023 NFL Week 5 Pick: New York Jets

Green Bay Packers vs. Las Vegas Raiders

• When: Monday, October 9th, 2023. 8:15pm EST.
• Where: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
• NFL Odds: Packers (-114) // Raiders (-103)

Detroit rushed at will against Green Bay’s defense, which means Josh Jacobs, one of the better running backs in the NFL, should have no trouble scorching the Packers.

Vegas quarterback Aidan O’Connell suffered seven sacks against the Chargers and the Raiders still lost by just 7 points. Green Bay won’t send O’Connell, or Jimmy Garoppolo if he plays, to the ground nearly as much. Raiders pocket their second victory of the season.

2023 NFL Week 5 Pick: Las Vegas Raiders

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READ MORE: 2023 NFL Week 5 Odds, Overview & Picks