The Kansas City Chiefs are gunning for back-to-back Super Bowl championships this coming weekend when they meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers down at Raymond James Stadium. The Chiefs are currently -167 favorites to win Super Bowl 55. They’re also favored by three points despite being the road team, technically speaking. With all that being said, we take a look at three reasons why the Chiefs will win Super Bowl 55.
Let Patrick Mahomes Cook
Patrick Mahomes has been unstoppable for the most part this season. It’s almost like the Chiefs have an unfair advantage by having Mahomes, who always gets what he wants on the field. Mahomes concluded the regular season with 4,740 passing yards and 38 touchdowns with only six interceptions and led the Chiefs’ offense in steamrolling the defenses of the Cleveland Browns and the Buffalo Bills in the playoffs.
The Buccaneers’ defense is stout, but even that stop unit was torched by Mahomes back in Week 12. One of Tampa Bay’s greatest strength is its ability to blitz, but that kind of scheme just doesn’t work as easily against Mahomes compared to other quarterbacks. Mahomes owns blitz packages. In fact, Mahomes averaged 0.54 Expected Points Added (EPA) per blitz scenario, per The Athletic. Mahomes is the clearest and biggest reason why the Chiefs will win Super Bowl 55.
It’s one thing to have the best quarterback in the game today. It’s another to have a stacked set of elite weapons around Mahomes, and that’s what the Chiefs have going into Super Bowl 55. The top priority for the Bucs in the Super Bowl obviously is to slow down Mahomes, but doing so could mean softer coverages for the likes of Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire. These three players are all capable of taking over a game. When the Chiefs defeated Tampa Bay in Week 12, Hill exploded for 269 receiving yards and three touchdowns on just 13 receptions.
The Bucs spent a good deal of time trying to blitz Mahomes, leaving lots of open spaces downfield for the speedy Hill to take advantage of. Kelce also had 82 yards on only eight catches in that game. Sammy Watkins, another deep threat, is also set to return to action after missing weeks due to an injury. In short, Mahomes has an embarrassment of riches around him on offense.
Old Man And The Blitz
Speaking of blitzes, the Chiefs will almost certainly try to rattle Tom Brady in the pocket. As great of a quarterback, Brady is, one thing he doesn’t have is mobility in the pocket, and that lack of athleticism and ability to scramble will be assets to why the Chiefs will win Super Bowl 55.
According to The Athletic, Brady completed just 11 of 20 passes for 146 yards and a touchdown with a couple of interceptions when faced with extra pass rushers during the regular season. That doesn’t bode well for him and the Bucs’ offense that also likes to put pressure on opposing quarterbacks thru blitzing.
Brady struggled in the NFC Championship Game, as he threw three interceptions in part because he couldn’t stand the pressure from the Green Bay Packers’ blitzes. The Packers just couldn’t capitalize on those Brady miscues, and it would likely have been a different story if that was Kansas City getting those extra possessions.
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