Las Vegas Raiders 2023 NFL Season Betting Guide

By Hank Blaine • August 1, 2023

The Las Vegas Raiders parted ways with longtime starting quarterback Derek Carr. Head coach Josh McDaniels signed Jimmy Garoppolo, a player he’s familiar with, to sit under center. Jimmy G. is one of the most talented quarterbacks in the league, but he’s had injury after injury. Did signing Garoppolo help the Raiders? Will Vegas turn it around this season? See below for our take in a Las Vegas Raiders 2023 NFL Season Betting Guide.

Las Vegas Raiders 2023 NFL Season Betting Predictions

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Las Vegas Raiders 2023 NFL Schedule

NFL Week 1: at Denver Broncos — 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS)
NFL Week 2: at Buffalo Bills — 1:00 p.m. ET (CBS)
NFL Week 3: vs. Pittsburgh Steelers — 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)
NFL Week 4: at Los Angeles Chargers — 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS)
NFL Week 5: vs. Green Bay Packers — 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)
NFL Week 6: vs. New England Patriots — 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS)
NFL Week 7: at Chicago Bears — 1:00 p.m. ET (FOX)
NFL Week 8: at Detroit Lions — 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)
NFL Week 9: vs. New York Giants — 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX
NFL Week 10: vs. New York Jets — 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)
NFL Week 11: at Miami Dolphins — 1:00 p.m. ET (CBS)
NFL Week 12: vs. Kansas City Chiefs — 4:35 p.m. ET (CBS)
NFL Week 13: BYE
NFL Week 14: vs. Minnesota Vikings — 4:05 p.m. ET (FOX)
NFL Week 15: vs. Los Angeles Chargers — 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video)
NFL Week 16: at Kansas City Chiefs — 1:00 p.m. ET (CBS)
NFL Week 17: at Indianapolis Colts — 1:00 p.m. ET (CBS)
NFL Week 18: vs. Denver Broncos — TBD (TBD)

Las Vegas Raiders 2023 Straight-Up Overview

Jimmy G. led the San Francisco 49ers to the 2020 Super Bowl, where Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs rallied to win the Lombardi Trophy. Garoppolo is a veteran who knows what he’s doing. The issue has always been health, and, unfortunately, this season could be more of the same.

Kolton Miller is a dynamite left tackle. Miller, a draft pick from the Jon Gruden era, can pancake edge rushers. Kolton can hold is own versus the best in the league, including players like Cleveland’s Myles Garrett and the Broncos’ Bradley Chubb.

But outside of Miller, the rest of the line struggles. Interior players, the guards, rank near the bottom of the NFL. Alex Bars ranks 63 and Dylan Parham ranks 66 in pressure rate allowed.

Those rankings are out of 67, which means teams are going to go right up the middle to get to Jimmy.

Garoppolo isn’t the fastest mover in the pocket. So things could get dicey starting in NFL Week 1 when Vegas takes on Chub and the Broncos in Denver. Don’t be surprised if Garoppolo breaks down well before the Raiders’ bye in week 13.

The Raiders defense is decent. Maxx Crosby is great. Chandler Jones, on the other side of Crosby, will be a force if he can rediscover his best game. The secondary is so-so, though.

Even if the Raiders had better offensive and defensive lines and Garoppolo wasn’t as fragile as he is, the team would struggle in the first six weeks. Vegas is on the road in three of their first four games: at Denver in week 1, at Buffalo in week 2, and at the Chargers in week 4.

In NFL Week 2, the Raiders host a decent Steelers squad. T.J. Watt has a real chance of getting to Jimmy G. in that game. New England is on the schedule. The Raiders must travel to Detroit and Miami this season.

Also, we can’t forget that Vegas plays in the AFC West. So two games versus the Broncos, Chiefs, and Chargers.

It’s difficult to know if Vegas improves at all from last season. The likelier outcome is Las Vegas is worse straight up. Instead of 6-11, the Raiders win one less game and go 5-12.

Las Vegas Raiders 2023 SU Record Prediction: 5-12

Las Vegas Raiders 2023 Against the Spread Overview

Vegas went 8-9 against the spread this season. It’s difficult seeing the Raiders improve against the spread in 2023.

The offensive line will struggle to protect Jimmy G. The defense is okay but not great and the schedule is ridiculous. However, oddsmakers know this. So instead of 8-9, we’ll lower the Raiders’ by a game and go 7-10.

Las Vegas Raiders ATS Record Prediction: 7-10

Las Vegas Raiders 2023 Over/Under Overview

The offense won’t be great unless Vegas fixes their O-line issues. The defense will struggle to stop anybody.

Still, oddsmakers won’t create false totals. So a similar 8-9 over to under record is the prediction.

Las Vegas Raiders 2023 Over/Under Record Prediction: 8-9

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