LSU vs. Alabama 2021 College Football Week 10 Odds, Preview & Pick

By Hank Blaine • November 4, 2021

One of the best rivalries in college football happens on Saturday when the LSU Tigers head to Tuscaloosa to battle #2 Alabama. Although Alabama is a massive -28.5 favorite, LSU tends to step it up when they take on the Crimson Tide. Will the Tigers from Baton Rouge keep this close? Or will Bama show why the CFP Selection Committee had it right when they ranked Alabama the second best team in the nation? Check out the College Football odds, analysis, and a free pick for Alabama versus LSU.

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LSU vs. Alabama Game Information

Saturday Night in Bryant-Denny!?#BamaFactor #RollTide pic.twitter.com/VCOt1sSFgJ
— Alabama Football (@AlabamaFTBL) November 4, 2021

When: Saturday, November 6th, 2021, 7:00 PM ET
Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama
TV: ESPN
Radio: Eagle 98.1 FM (LSU) / Tide 100.9 FM (Alabama)
Live Stream: WatchESPN
College Football Odds: LSU Tigers (+28.5) / Alabama Crimson Tide (-28.5)

Why Bet on the LSU Tigers?

The Tigers’ offense has come together. The Tigers amass 382.1 yards per game. Most of the yards arrive via the pass, 269.3 each contest. Quarterback Max Johnson has developed a good rapport with wide receiver Kayshon Boutte. The wideout has 38 catches for 508 yards. Boutte has scored a combined 9 touchdowns.

When Johnson isn’t throwing to Boutte, running back Tyrion Davis-Price carries the load. LSU’s RB1 averages 5.2 yards per carry, the best of his career. LSU averages over 30 points per game. Versus Alabama, the Tigers may require more than 30 to have any shot.

LSU often sends one of the nation’s top defenses to the field. Not this season. The Tigers allow 28.8 per. Opponents average close to 415 yards each game versus LSU’s defense. The Tigers are bad against both the rush and the pass. LSU is especially bad against the rush, allowing 167.8 yards per game. The Tigers’ defensive struggles are the main reason they have a 4-4 record.

Why Bet on the Alabama Crimson Tide?

7-1 Alabama relies on one of the most feared offenses in college football. Bama ranks tenth in yards per with 494 each game. The Crimson Tide averages 45.9 points each contest, which ranks second behind Ohio State.

Quarterback Bryce Young has thrown for 2,453 yards. Young is completing 70% of his passes. He’s produced a 26-to-3 TD-to-INT ratio. Brian Robinson Jr. is the top rusher. Robinson Jr. has a combined 867 yards and has scored a combined 13 touchdowns.

Alabama’s defense yields just 20.6 points per game. The D relies on stopping the rush first and then working on stopping the pass. Bama ranks fourth in rush yards allowed per game at 87. The Crimson Tide defense yields 219 passing yards each contest. Overall, opponents average less than 307 yards total versus Alabama’s impressive defense.

LSU vs. Alabama Betting Trends

LSU is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.
Tigers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss.
Over is 5-1 in Tigers’ last 6 games as an underdog.
Alabama is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home games.
Crimson Tide is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Over is 5-1-1 in Crimson Tide’s last 7 games following a straight up win.

LSU vs. Alabama Expert Betting Predictions

All rivalry games aren’t the same LSU versus Alabama is a special rivalry, one which relies more on emotion than anything else. But although the Tigers will keep this close in the first quarter, and for most of the second quarter, eventually, Bama will assert themselves. The problem for LSU is that this takes place in Tuscaloosa, where Bama’s offense often plays better.

The underdog Tigers won’t have their fans behind them. Another issue for LSU is with their defense. It’s difficult seeing the Tigers coming close to containing Young, and Robinson Jr. Kenyon Boutte is gerat, but he’s a single player. Also, LSU faces an Alabama defense that has really come together in recent games. The Crimson Tide rolls to a cover victory.

NCAAF Week 10 Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide

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*All odds stated are subject to change without prior notice.