Super Bowl LVII NFC Favorites Betting Stats

By Hank Blaine

Making money during NFL season means studying betting stats from the previous season. Although it sounds counterintuitive, we don’t always want to back Super Bowl contenders to cover spreads. In fact in many cases, the opposite is true. Check out 2021 betting stats for the top five NFC contenders to win Super Bowl 57 along with analysis.

Betting Stats on the Top Five NFC Super Bowl LVII Favorites

READ MORE: Super Bowl LVII AFC Favorites Betting Stats

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Super Bowl LVII Odds: +750
  • ATS: 9-8
  • Over/Under:/strong>: 9-8

Oddsmakers were pretty dead on when setting spread lines and totals for Buccaneers’ games. Tampa failed against the spread 8 times in 17 games. If you had bet on every Tampa game to cover, you would have made a profit. Expect a similar against the spread record this season.

As far as the total goes, look to play over. Tampa will throw much more than they run, which will lead to over games. But when the Bucs play the Saints, under should hit. Both teams will rely on their defenses. Also, the Saints know how to contain Tom Brady.

Los Angeles Rams

  • Super Bowl LVII Odds: +1000
  • ATS: 8-9
  • Over/Under:/strong>: 9-7-1

Because the Rams won Super Bowl 56, Los Angeles should see plenty of difficult spreads. There’s a chance the Rams fall to 7-10 ATS this season. However, there is a caveat to the prediction.

Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford is suffering from a strange elbow issue. If Stafford can’t play, or if he does play but he’s not one hundred percent, expect oddsmakers to adjust, which means the Rams could end up covering more in 2022 than they did in 2021.

Make sure to take Staff’s elbow injury into account when handicapping totals. If the Rams QB1 is injured in any way, the Rams will struggle to go over game totals.

Green Bay Packers

  • Super Bowl LVII Odds: +1200
  • ATS: 12-5
  • Over/Under:/strong>: 8-9

It’s impossible for the Packers to again reach a 12-5 against the spread record. Oddsmakers failed to adjust lines last season, which is why the Pack won so many more games ATS than they lost.

This season, lines will be on point starting in NFL Week 1. Not only that, but as if August, the Packers are without their starting left tackle and starting right tackle.

The total should end with about the same record, either 8-9 or 9-8 to the over. Although Davante Adams no longer plays for Green Bay, coach Matt LaFleur will adjust the offense to throw more to running back Aaron Jones and using A.J. Dillon in the rushing attack.

San Francisco 49ers

  • Super Bowl LVII Odds: +1600
  • ATS: 9-8
  • Over/Under:/strong>: 8-9

San Francisco could see a big uptick in the games that they cover and matchups that go over the total. Oddsmakers have no idea how effective new starting quarterback Trey Lance will be.

If he steps onto the field and dominates, expect the Niners to be this season’s Packers or Cowboys with plenty more covers than non-covers. If Lance bombs, then the 49ers should post similar betting stats to what they did in 2021.

The guess here is that Lance is the next Patrick Mahomes. So San Francisco should be a fantastic play ATS. At least they should be in the first half of the season before oddsmakers adjust.

Dallas Cowboys

  • Super Bowl LVII Odds: +1800
  • ATS: 13-4
  • Over/Under:/strong>: 8-9

Dallas failed against the spread just 4 times in 2021. It’s impossible to see a situation where the Cowboys repeat the effort in 2022. A more realistic 9-8 or 10-7 spread record is probable.

When it comes to over or under totals, the Boys’ offense should score plenty of points. But oddsmakers know this, which is why an 8-9 or 9-8 total record to the over is likely.

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*All stated odds are subject to change without prior notice.