Super Bowl LVII AFC Favorites Betting Stats

By Hank Blaine

Unlike the NFC, where for some unexplainable reason the Packers went 12-5 ATS in 2021 and the Cowboys went a ridiculous 13-4 against the spread last season, no 2022 AFC Super Bowl favorite boasts a 2021 spread total better than 10-7. See below for betting stats for the six top AFC Super Bowl contenders and a 2022 analysis.

Betting Stats on the Top Five NFC Super Bowl LVII Favorites

READ MORE: Super Bowl LVII NFC Favorites Betting Stats

Buffalo Bills

  • Super Bowl LVII Odds: +600
  • ATS: 9-6-2
  • Over/Under:/strong>: 8-9

Buffalo isn’t just the AFC favorite to win Super Bowl 57. The Bills are this season’s chalk to win the Lombardi Trophy. Buffalo projects as a favorite in almost every game this season. Although the Bills had a decent 9-6-2 record against the spread in 2021, we should expect a 1 game positive or even losing record ATS in 2022.

No team has had as bright of a spotlight during the offseason, which means oddsmakers will have a bead on the lines to set for Buffalo games starting in week 1. Also, don’t expect much change in the game totals stat. 8-9 or 9-8 seems probable.

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Super Bowl LVII Odds: +1000
  • ATS: 8-9
  • Over/Under:/strong>: 10-7

The Chiefs entered the 2021 NFL Regular Season the team to beat against the spread. Kansas City failed ATS because they attracted more attention than any other team. This season, the Chiefs aren’t under the radar, but they won’t get as many looks as the Bills. Kansas City could go 9-8 or possibly even 10-7.

It all depends on how well Patrick Mahomes develops a rapport with his new receivers. The total should be similar. The under could have an edge if the Chiefs don’t play as fast as they did in 2021.

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Super Bowl LVII Odds: +1400
  • ATS: 8-9
  • Over/Under:/strong>: 10-7

If everything comes together for the Bolts’ improved defense, covering spreads could be easy. Behind Justin Herbert, the offense will roll. If the defense plays like a shut down unit, the Chargers could end up 10-7 or possibly 11-6.

Over won’t hit as often in 2022 as it did in 2021. The total on Chargers games will be similar, but if the defense plays better, and it should, the Bolts will hold opponents to 20 points or less per game.

Denver Broncos

  • Super Bowl LVII Odds: +1600
  • ATS: 8-9
  • Over/Under:/strong>: 7-10

It’s difficult envisioning the Broncos covering the same amount or fewer games this season than they did last season. Denver traded for Russell Wilson. Russell should excel behind a decent offensive line and with so many excellent receivers.

Denver’s defense is rock solid, but oddsmakers may miscalculate totals for the first half of the season. The over could flip the script from 7-10 to 10-7.

Baltimore Ravens

  • Super Bowl LVII Odds: +2000
  • ATS: 8-9
  • Over/Under:/strong>: 8-9

Baltimore should post similar ATS and over/under total betting stats this season. The Ravens haven’t changed enough to predict a big difference from 8-9. Expect a 9-8 or possibly another 8-9 against the spread record.

The total should finish at 8-9 or 9-8. If Baltimore’s defense underperforms, the total could climb to 10-7 to the over.

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Super Bowl LVII Odds: +2000
  • ATS: 10-7
  • Over/Under:/strong>: 8-9

Oddsmakers should have an idea of what spreads to set for the AFC Champions. But before saying it will happen, it’s important to note that the Bengals have a revamped and better offensive line in 2022 than they had in 2021.

Not only that, but Cincinnati plans on using Ja’Marr Chase in a Deebo Samuel type roll, which means Chase will play wideout and running back. If it comes together, the Bengals will score more.

The defense is solid. So Cincinnati could cover the same amount of games, 10, and more games could go over, maybe up to 10, than what happened in 2021.

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*All stated odds are subject to change without prior notice.