Texas vs. Washington 2024 Sugar Bowl Odds, Preview & Pick

By Hank Blaine • December 27, 2023

Big 12 Champion Texas and Pac-12 titlist Washington hope to continue their dream seasons when the two squads meet in the 2024 Sugar Bowl CFP Semifinal on Monday, January 1st. Washington went undefeated in the deep Pac-12 while the Longhorns trounced Oklahoma State to end their season with a single loss. Which team gets the win and marches to the 2024 National Championship game on January 8th? Keep reading for college football odds, analysis, and a free pick for Texas versus Washington.

Texas Longhorns vs. Washington Huskies 2024 Sugar Bowl CFP Semifinal Game Information

IT'S BOWL WEEK‼#CFBPlayoff Semifinal at the @Allstate #SugarBowl

2️⃣@UW_Football 3️⃣@TexasFootball #PurpleReign #HookEm pic.twitter.com/FTA9a5pp2J
— Allstate Sugar Bowl (@SugarBowlNola) December 27, 2023

When: Monday, January 1st, 2024, 8:45 PM ET
Where: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
TV: ESPN
Radio: KVET-FM 98.1 (Texas) // Seattle’s Sports Radio 950 KJR (Washington)
Live Stream: ESPN+
College Football Odds: Texas (-4) // Washington (+4)

Why Bet on the Texas Longhorns?

The Longhorns D stepped it up in every game, holding each opponent to 30 points or less in every contest except for the loss to Oklahoma. The Sooners scored 34 and it took a miracle close to last second TD for Dillon Gabriel and Oklahoma to get the win over Texas.

The Longhorns held Kansas State to 30 in a 33-30 overtime victory. The Wildcats and Sooners were the only two teams that scored 30 or more against Texas’ D. Even Alabama could score no more than 24 in Texas’ 34-24 victory.

The Longhorns offense starts with quarterback Quinn Ewers, who heads to New Orleans off his best game of the season. Facing a motivated Oklahoma State side in the Big 12 Championship, Ewers was tremendous when throwing 4 TD passes.

The Texas signal-caller threw for 452 yards while completing over 76% of his passes. If Ewers as close as effective against Washington’s defense as he was versus Oklahoma State’s, Texas will win the Sugar Bowl by much more than 4.5 points.

Why Bet on the Washington Huskies?

Washington isn’t known for their defense, but the Huskies’ D is as much of a reason for Washington’s College Football Playoff berth as the offense. The Huskies held Arizona, which boasts one of the best offenses in the nation, to 24 points.

Oregon scored 33 in the first Washington victory over the Ducks. Bo Nix and his mates could only score 30 in the Pac-12 title game. Oregon averages over 44.2 points per game, second in the nation. So Washington’s D has really stepped it up this season.

Heisman Trophy Finalist Michael Penix Jr. is one of the most effective quarterbacks in the nation. Penix Jr. started his career at Indiana and has suffered two knee injuries, which makes him not only experienced but also determined.

Few players go through what Penix Jr. has gone through and excel on the field. The Washington quarterback threw for 4,218 yards, 33 touchdowns and tossed just 9 picks.

Penix Jr. has already overcome adversity, which might explain why he’s always under control and calm. It helps that Washington’s QB can throw to one of the top receivers in the game, Romeo Odunze.

Texas vs. Washington Betting Trends

Texas is 4-2 ATS in the last 6 games.
Longhorns are 7-0 SU in its last 7 games.
The total went over is 5-8 in Longhorns games this season.
Washington is 10-0 SU in the last 10 games.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing as the underdog.
The total went over in 6-7 in Huskies games this season.

Texas vs. Washington 2024 Sugar Bowl Expert Betting Predictions

The odds make zero sense. Not only can Penix Jr. throw to Odunze, but Jalen McMillan is almost just as effective. Also, Ewers got the chance to beat some pretty terrible teams.

Anybody who thinks Oklahoma State is close to Oregon’s level doesn’t know college football. The Oregon State Beavers, Arizona Wildcats, Oregon Ducks, and a healthy Utah team would have challenged Texas for the Big 12 title.

Washington beat all of those teams, and they did so by playing terrific defense and offense. The Huskies’ D is going to force Ewers into at least 1 interception, while Penix Jr. will carve up Texas’ secondary. Huskies win this going away.

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