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2022 NFL MVP Odds & Predictions

By Hank Blaine

Heading into the 2022 NFL Regular Season, Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen is an outright chalk over KC quarterback Patrick Mahomes and Tampa signal-caller Tom Brady to win the NFL Most Valuable Player Award. Is Allen worth a look over his top two competitors? Check out current 2022 NFL MVP odds and an analysis.

2022 NFL MVP Odds

  • Josh Allen +700
  • Patrick Mahomes +800
  • Tom Brady +800
  • Aaron Rodgers +1000
  • Justin Herbert +1000
  • Dak Prescott +1200
  • Joe Burrow +1200
  • Russell Wilson +1400
  • Matthew Stafford +1400
  • Kyler Murray +1400
  • Lamar Jackson +2200
  • Deshaun Watson +2500
  • Jalen Hurts +2500
  • Derrick Henry +3300
  • Derek Carr +3300
  • Jonathan Taylor +4000
  • Cooper Kupp +4000
  • Trey Lance +5000
  • Kirk Cousins +5000
  • Mac Jones +5000

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Which player among Allen, Mahomes, and Brady deserves the longest look to win NFL MVP?

Separating Allen, Mahomes, and Brady is tough. Terrific Tom deserves much respect and, no doubt, will have a terrific season. But Brady’s team faces a tough road beating New Orleans for the division title.

Mahomes and Kansas City are also going to have to earn it. The AFC West is loaded. Buffalo, on the other hand, is the NFL’s best team.

Josh Allen figures to post fantastic numbers both in the passing game and via rushing the ball. Allen’s squad should end the season with the best record. So if you want to back one of the three favorites, Josh Allen is the pick.

Which two players offer the most underlay odds to win MVP?

Aaron Rodgers has won the last couple of NFL MVPs. Rodgers can win a third straight, but there’s a huge difference between Green Bay’s offense this season and last season. Davante Adams and Marquez Valdez-Scantling no longer play for the Pack. Without his top two targets, Rodgers will struggle to post the same stats in 2022 that he did in 2021. At the odds, AR is an underlay.

So is Kyler Murray. The Arizona Cardinals quarterback has skills, but he’s short and defensive coordinators have figured out how to defend against Murray. Also, Kyler will be missing his top target, DeAndre Hopkins, for the first six games.

Which two players offer the best overlay odds to win NFL MVP?

Both Dak Prescott, Dallas’ quarterback, and Joe Burrow, Cincinnati’s signal-caller, offer overlay odds. Prescott to CeeDee Lamb will devastate defenses this season. We must remember that Dak entered last season off a season-ending injury in 2020. Prescott threw for 4,449 yards and 37 TDs with just 10 picks. Dak will post better stats in 2022.

Burrow threw for 4,611 yards and 34 touchdowns with 14 interceptions. It was Joe’s first season throwing to his LSU teammate Ja’Marr Chase. So we should expect the duo to have an even bigger 2022 than their 2021.

Which player with odds of +2200 or higher has the best chance of winning the NFL MVP?

A lot of NFL fans, even Raider fans, don’t believe in Derek Carr. But the former Fresno State star has never had the skill players around him to find success. More importantly, Carr has never had the coaching staff required for him to be successful. That changed this offseason when the Raiders hired former New England offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels as their new HC.

Vegas also traded for former Green Bay Packer Davante Adams. Adams and Carr played together at Fresno State. Derek is more than capable of throwing for 5,000 yards, he threw for 4,800 last season without Adams, and tossing 35 to 40 TDs. At the +3300 odds, Derek Carr is the best longshot pick to win the NFL MVP.

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*All stated odds are subject to change without prior notice.