Chiefs vs. Buccaneers 2022 NFL Week 4 Odds, Preview & Pick

By Hank Blaine • September 30, 2022

Hurricane Ian spared Tampa Bay, which is why on Sunday night, Patrick Mahomes will lead the Kansas City Chiefs into Florida to take on Tom Brady and the Buccaneers. Earlier in the week, Kansas City had opened a -2.5 road favorite. Since then, money has landed onto Tampa so that now the Buccaneers are the -1 chalk. Will Tampa Bay provide their fans something to cheer about with a win and cover? Or will the Chiefs grab their third win of the season?

Nitrobetting is ready to equip its bettors with the latest news, NFL betting odds, and special features for the entire duration of the 2022 NFL season. This time, let’s take a closer look at the upcoming Week 4 showdown between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Game Information

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— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) September 30, 2022

When: Sunday, October 2, 2022, 8:20 PM ET
Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
TV: NBC
Radio: 106.5 FM The Wolf (Chiefs) // WXTB 97.9 FM (Buccaneers)
Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
NFL Odds: Chiefs (-1) // Buccaneers (+1)

Why Bet on the Kansas City Chiefs?

Few teams so far this season field as effective of an offense as Kansas City’s. The Chiefs average 29.3 points per, ranking fourth in the league. Like what you might expect, Kansas City is a much better passing team than they are a rushing team. The Chiefs average 93 yards per game on the ground.

Mahomes averages 281 passing yards each contest. Mahomes top target is tight-end Travis Kelce. After 3 games, Kelce has caught 24 passes for 323 yards. Travis has yet to score a touchdown.

Kansas City fields a defense that allows a total of 314 yards per game. The Chiefs rank ninth against the rush when allowing 86.7 yards per contest. KC ranks fourteenth versus the pass. Opponents average 227.3 yards per game through the air. Kansas City holds teams to 21.7 points on average per game.

Why Bet on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Tampa’s offense has yet to get on track. Tom Brady throws for 211.3 passing yards per contest. Brady is completing 65% of his throws. He’s thrown 3 TD passes and a pick. The Buccaneers rush for 86 yards each game. Tampa averages 17 points. In 3 games, the offense has turned the ball over 4 times.

Heading into their week 4 game, Tampa Bay is playing the best defense of any team in the NFL. The Buccaneers allow opponents to score 9 points per against them, ranking first in the league.

Tampa ranks fourth in yards allowed. Opposing teams amass 289 yards each contest. The Buccaneers also rank first in takeaways. In 3 games, the Bucs have taken the ball away an amazing 8 times.

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Betting Trends

Chiefs are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 games on grass.
Kansas City is 6-13 ATS in the last 19 games following an ATS loss.
Over is 5-1 in the Chiefs’ last 6 road games.
Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games following an ATS loss.
Tampa Bay 5-15-1 ATS in the last 21 games in October.
Under is 5-1 in the Buccaneers’ last 6 games following a loss.

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Expert Betting Predictions

Talk about a contrast in styles. The Chiefs have an okay defense, but KC wins games by leaning on their terrific offense. Tampa Bay wins games by leaning on the stingiest and most opportunistic defense in the NFL. Tampa’s 8 takeaways is incredible considering the team beat the Cowboys and Saints and almost rallied agianst the Packers.

But as good as Tampa’s defense is, the offense has struggled. Still, this happens in Tampa, the Buccaneers will be motivated because of Ian, and it’s a matter of time before Tom Brady gets on track.

Tampa’s D will frustrate Mahomes while Brady finds ways to get Mike Evans and Russell Gage the ball. Evans had to sit out the match against Green Bay. Mike should be ready on Sunday. KC will make it close, but Tampa wins and covers.

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*All stated odds are subject to change without prior notice.