Dolphins vs. Saints 2021 NFL Week 16 Odds, Preview & Pick
Two teams fighting for playoff berths step onto the field at the Superdome on Monday night in what’s bound to be an intriguing game. Covid has hit the Saints hard, which is why even though this happens in their building, New Orleans is an underdog. Will the road favored Dolphins keep their playoff hopes alive? Or can New Orleans some how beat Miami to keep their postseason dreams intact? Keep reading for NFL odds, analysis, and a free pick for Miami at New Orleans.
Dolphins vs. Saints Game Information
- When: Monday, Dec. 27 at 8:15 pm ET
- Where: Caesar’s Superdome, New Orleans, LA
- TV: ESPN
- Radio: AM 560 WQAM (Dolphins) / WWL 870 AM (Saints)
- Live Stream: WatchESPN
- NFL Odds: Dolphins (-1.5) / Saints (+1.5)
Why Bet on the Miami Dolphins?
Forget overall stats because in the past month the Dolphins’ offense has flourished. Miami scored 22 against Baltimore on Nov. 11, 24 versus the Jets on Nov. 21, and 33 against Carolina on Nov. 28. Then so far in December, the Dolphins have beaten the Giants 20-9 and the Jets 31-24. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is playing great. Tua’s touchdown to interception ratio in Miami’s last 5 games, all wins, is 7-to-3. One thing to worry about is that Miami doesn’t rush the football well. Tagovailoa feels pressure to perform in every game. So Tua must play well on Monday night for the Fins to score points.
Tagovailoa is playing well, but the real reason the Dolphins are on a 6 game winning streak is because of the defense. Miami’s D has finally come together. The Jets scored 24 in the Fins’ NFL Week 15 game. It was first time in the past 6 contests that an opponent had scored more than 17. Miami linebacker Jaelan Phillips leads the team with 8.5 sacks. Xavien Howard has four picks this season.
Why Bet on the New Orleans Saints?
New Orleans doesn’t have a great offense. The Saints average just 22.4 point per. The passing attack is bad. New Orleans averages less than 195 passing yards each game. The saving grace for the offense are running backs Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram. Both can rush for 100 yards in a game. The Saints average 117 rush yards. But when Ingram and Kamara are both healthy, and the Saints’ offensive line is performing well, New Orleans can easily eclipse 150 yards rushing. The Saints have leaned on one of the most ferocious defenses in the league. When both defensive ends, Cameron Jordan and Marcus Davenport, are healthy, the Saints can stop any opposing offense. Jordan and Davenport force every play into the middle of the field where excellent linebacker Demario Davis cleans up. Davis has 63 solo tackles and 3 sacks this season. Led by Pro Bowl cornerback Marshon Lattimore, the Saints’ secondary is also good.
Dolphins vs. Saints Betting Trends
- Dolphins are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7.
- Miami is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss.
- Under is 5-2 in Miami’s last 7 games overall.
- Saints are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win.
- New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in December.
- Under is 4-0 in New Orleans last 4 games.
Dolphins vs. Saints Expert Betting Predictions
Up until Thursday this week, it appeared as if the New Orleans Saints might carry momentum from their NFL Week 15 victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers into this Monday night contest against the Dolphins. But on Thursday, the Saints put quarterbacks Taysom Hill and Trevor Siemian on the coronavirus protocols list. What it means is that unless Hill or Siemian is cleared before Monday night, former Notre Dame QB Ian Book will start.
The news affected the betting line, which is why New Orleans went from a -3 favorite to a +1 ½ underdog. But although starting Book isn’t ideal, the Saints’ offense hasn’t been great this season anyhow. Who knows? The rookie might surprise. More importantly, New Orleans’ defense has become one of the top units in the NFL, the game happens in the Superdome, and the Dolphins are one-dimensional on offense. The Saints win and cover.
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*All odds stated are subject to change without prior notice.