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2022 Waste Management Phoenix Open Odds, Preview and Picks

By Hank Blaine

While the PGA Tour stop last week at Pebble Beach was a bit thin on talent because of a huge money event in Saudi Arabia, it’s a terrific field this week at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, which is often considered the biggest party in golf and always held Super Bowl weekend – pushed back a week this year just like the Super Bowl was.

Three of the top four in the Official World Golf Ranking are teeing it up in Phoenix with Jon Rahm (No. 1), Viktor Hovland (No. 3) and Patrick Cantlay (No. 4) all in action. A warming trend with temperatures approaching 80 degrees will bridge all four rounds of the tournament. That’s actually well above average for this time of year. Wind will not be a factor.

TPC Scottsdale is a par 71 at 7,260 yards and the par-3 16th is the most raucous hole on the PGA Tour because it’s one giant party for fans. TPC Scottsdale plays shorter than the official distance due to some 1,500 feet of altitude in the Phoenix area, and has only three par-5s, none of which reaches 560 yards. It’s a ball-strikers’ course and distance off the tee isn’t hugely important.

Attendance was severely limited last year when the scoring average at TPC Scottsdale was 69.455. Twenty-five years ago, Tiger Woods made his first hole-in-one on the PGA Tour, a 6-iron from 170 yards on the 16th hole in the final round of this tournament and the crowd went absolutely bonkers as did Tiger.

There have only been five winners in the seven events since a course redesign in 2014 as Hideki Matsuyama and Brooks Koepka have both won twice.

We’ve listed starting golf odds and an odds analysis of the top choices at the 2022 Waste Management Phoenix Open. Will Daniel Berger retain the title? ? Keep reading to find out.

2022 Waste Management Phoenix Open Tournament Info

  • When: Thursday, Feb. 10 – Sunday, Feb. 13
  • Where: TPC Scottsdale, Scottsdale, AZ
  • TV: Golf Channel
  • Live Stream: GolfChannel.com
  • Purse: $8,200,000
  • Defending Champ: Brooks Koepka
  • Odds to Win the 2022 Waste Management Phoenix Open

    • Jon Rahm +750
    • Justin Thomas +1200
    • Patrick Cantlay +140
    • Hideki Matsuyama +2000
    • Jordan Spieth +2000
    • Viktor Hovland +2000
    • Xander Schauffele +2200
    • Brooks Koepka +3000
    • Daniel Berger +3000
    • Scottie Scheffler +3000

    Who are the top betting picks to win the 2022 Waste Management Phoenix Open?

    The world No. 1 Rahm is the +750 favorite. He played at the Farmers Insurance Open two weeks ago and finished at 14-under 274, one swing short of a two-man playoff involving eventual champ Luke List. Rahm is now 0-for-6 in terms of winning in his PGA Tour career as a 36-hole leader/co-leader. Rahm starred collegiately at nearby Arizona State. He hasn’t won this event but hasn’t been worse than T16 in six tries and was T13 last year. This will be the first time he plays here at No. 1 in the world.

    Justin Thomas is +1200 and looking for his first win here. Thomas enters the WM Phoenix Open with five Top-20 finishes to start the season. After missing the cut here in 2017, Thomas has finished no worse than T17 and has a pair of top-5 finished. Despite the missed cut five years ago, he still has the fourth most strokes gained in this event.

    Defending FedEx Cup champion Cantlay is +1400. He played last week at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am and shot 15-under 274, good for a two-way T4, four shy of champion and playing competitor Tom Hoge (68). Cantlay began the final round birdie-birdie to establish himself as the leader, but from that point on he was just a little off. Cantlay has five Top 10s in a row dating back to the 2021 FedExCup Playoffs.

    Matsuyama is +1800 to win here a third time and Koepka is +3300 to do the same and repeat. Last year, Koepka chipped in from 32 yards for eagle on the 17th hole to break a tie for the lead and then parred the last for a one-stroke victory. Five strokes behind Jordan Spieth and Xander Schauffele entering the round, Koepka shot a 6-under 65 to finish at 19-under 265. He also won in 2015 at TPC Scottsdale for the first of his eight PGA Tour titles. Matsuyama won in 2016 and ’17.

    Which player from +2000 to +2800 odds can win the trophy?

    Schauffele is +2200 off his co-runner-up to Koepka last year. All four of Schauffele’s trips have resulted in a top 20. Placed T18 at last week’s Saudi Invite on the Asian Tour. Spieth is also +2200. He finished in solo second place after shooting a three-under 69 in the final round of the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am on Sunday.

    Spieth started the final 36 holes 11 shots behind the lead, but a 63 in round three combined with some help from 36-hole leader Seamus Power put Spieth just one shot out from the 54-hole lead. Spieth grabbed control of the Pebble Beach tournament after his second straight birdie at the par-4 13th hole on Sunday but then faded a bit.

    2022 Waste Management Phoenix Open Expert Pick

    Xander Schauffele at +2200

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    *All odds stated are subject to change without prior notice.

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