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2023 NFL Week 11 Odds, Overview & Picks

By Hank Blaine

The Bengals and Ravens kick off NFL Week 11 on Thursday. Baltimore is a -3.5 chalk. Then on Sunday, the Raiders head to Miami looking for their third straight and the Bills host the Jets striving to end a 3-game losing streak. Check out against the spread odds, analysis, and free picks for every game on the 2023 NFL Week 11 schedule.

Top 2023 NFL Week 11 Games to Bet

READ MORE: 2023 NFL Week 11 Sleeper Picks

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens

Cincinnati was on the cusp of a fifth straight victory but super rookie C.J. Stroud rallied the Texans to an improbable 30-27 win.

The Ravens also suffered a loss after letting Deshaun Watson and the Browns rally. Baltimore has the edge because this is on their field, but in what should be a low-scoring game, Burrow and his mates can get it done. Cincinnati covers.

2023 NFL Week 11 Pick: Cincinnati Bengals

Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans

Kyler Murray returned and the Arizona Cardinals got a massive 25-23 win over the reeling Atlanta Falcons. The Cards are different team with the diminutive former Oklahoma Sooner playing QB.

But Houston is one of the AFC’s better squads. C.J. can beat any defense and the Texans D is solid. Give Houston the win and cover.

2023 NFL Week 11 Pick: Houston Texans

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins

The Raiders play with heart. Not only that, but the offense believes in Aidan O’Connell. Las Vegas’s turnaround stems from Antonio Pierce, who has excellent communication skills with his players.

So Vegas’s defense projects to step it up enough to give the offense a shot to keep this close. Back the dog to cash.

2023 NFL Week 11 Pick: Las Vegas Raiders

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Green Bay Packers

The Packers are a disaster. After starting the season winning 2 of their first 3, Green Bay has since lost 5-of-6.

However, it’s tough to back the Bolts. The Chargers are as up and down as it gets. Los Angeles heads to Green Bay a week after falling to the Lions 41-38 at home. Green Bay is the play to cover the spread.

2023 NFL Week 11 Pick: Green Bay Packers

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

The Titans have lost 4-of-5. Their lone win was against the reeling Falcons. This is a Tennessee road game versus a motivated Jacksonville side that wants to prove their loss to San Francisco last Sunday was a blip on the season schedule. Jags roll.

2023 NFL Week 11 Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns

Pittsburgh has won 4-of-5. All 4 victories were quality wins, at home versus the Ravens, on the road versus the Rams, and at home against the Titans and Packers.

The Browns got devastating news this Wednesday that Deshaun Watson was out for the season with a shoulder injury. The Steelers cover for sure.

2023 NFL Week 11 Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers

Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers

The spread line is large for a road game in the NFL. But the Cowboys are much, much better than Carolina.

Dak Prescott is having an NFL MVP type season while the Panthers are a mess of a football team. Carolina is playing for the future. So expect the Boys to rout the Panthers by 20 or more.

2023 NFL Week 11 Pick: Dallas Cowboys

New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders

The Giants won the first head-to-head 14-9. So it’s difficult to understand why Washington, which has lost 3-of-4 with the lone victory coming against the terrible New England Patriots, is a -10 favorite.

D.C. plays down to their opponents. Not only that, but the Commanders defense is again playing terrible football.

2023 NFL Week 11 Pick: New York Giants

Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions

Detroit is going to rout the Chicago Bears. The Bears beat the Panthers 16-13 in their last, but Chicago has no shot against one of the best teams in the NFL.

Detroit’s defense is excellent against the rush. Tyson Bagent is no Jim McMahon. Justin Fields, should he play, will also struggle. When Detroit has the ball, they should find it easy to score points. Lions rock the Bears.

2023 NFL Week 11 Pick: Detroit Lions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers

After beating the Jaguars 34-3 on the road in NFL Week 10, it’s safe to say the 49ers are back on track. San Francisco had lost 3 straight, but the win against Jacksonville, one of the AFC’s better squads, impressed.

The Buccaneers tackle the Niners after a victory. Beating the Titans at home and then taking down the Niners in Santa Clara are two hugely different things.

2023 NFL Week 11 Pick: San Francisco 49ers

Seattle Seahawks vs. L.A. Rams

The Rams have lost 3 straight and the losses haven’t been close. The 6-3 Seahawks have won 3-of-4.

So although the Hawks must travel to Inglewood to throw down against the rival Rams, Seattle is the pick.

2023 NFL Week 11 Pick: Seattle Seahawks

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills

  • When: Sunday, November 19th, 2023. 4:25pm EST.
  • Where: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
  • NFL Odds: Jets (+7) // Bills (-7)

The Bills fired their offensive coordinator. The offensive coordinator wasn’t necessarily the issue. Ken Dorsey wasn’t the one throwing the ball. Josh Allen throws the ball.

In any case, the Jets defense will contain Allen and the Bills. Buffalo’s confidence is shot. So the J-E-T-S is an overlay at +6.5.

2023 NFL Week 11 Pick: New York Jets

Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos

Both teams are en fuego. Minnesota searches for their sixth straight while the Broncos look for their fourth straight.

This can go either way. Usually in a game that can go either way, we’d side with the squad getting points. But the Vikings are due for a letdown performance while the Broncos are surging after beating the Packers and upsetting the Chiefs and Bills.

2023 NFL Week 11 Pick: Denver Broncos

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs

  • When: Monday, November 20th, 2023. 8:15pm EST.
  • Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
  • NFL Odds: Eagles (+3) // Chiefs (-3)

Philadelphia will be motivated to beat the Chiefs. The Eagles want to prove they’re the best team in the NFL.

Don’t expect Jalen Hurts and his mates to show any intimidation. Hurts and the Eagles will go right at Mahomes and the Chiefs. Philly covers.

2023 NFL Week 11 Pick: Philadelphia Eagles

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READ MORE: 2023 Nitro NFL Survivor Pools Week 10 Recap

*All stated odds are subject to change without prior notice.