Aces vs. Liberty 2023 WNBA Finals Game 4 Odds and Preview

By Jeff Stinger • October 16, 2023

The New York Liberty gets a lifeline after a Game 3 victory in the 2023 WNBA Finals. Home-court advantage played well for head coach Sandy Brondello and her crew as they outscored their opponents in three of the four quarters. They never trailed once in the game and finished with a much-needed 87-73 win. The defeat was a wake-up call for the top-seeded team. Las Vegas head coach Becky Hammon’s team isn’t unbeatable after all. With another home game next in line, the hosts are keen to tie the series before flying back to Nevada for Game 5.

Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty 2023 WNBA Finals Game 4 Match Information

When: Wednesday, October 18, 2023, 8:00 PM ET
Where: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
TV: ABC
Live Stream: ESPN
WNBA Betting Odds: TBA

Why Bet on the Las Vegas Aces?

The Aces failed to clinch their second title in Game 3. Las Vegas now lost six games since July 9 and is under pressure with another road contest to play. On paper, the team averages 90.6 points on 47.5% shooting and allows 73.3 points on 37.9% shooting. They hold some of the most intimidating offensive and defensive figures in the league, which is why a Game victory for the Liberty was a huge deal.

Kelsey Plum topped the scoring in the previous game. Despite scoring 29 points on ten of 22 shooting and four of five from the line, the rest of the pack failed to provide significant support. A’ja Wilson and Chelsea Gray were the only two starters who scored double figures, recording 16 and 11 points, respectively. The rest of the team was nearly non-existent as the Liberty powered through a win.

The Aces struggled to gain traction on both ends of the floor as a team. The visitors ended the night on 33.3% shooting from the field, 31.8% from deep, and 87.0% from the free-throw line. Las Vegas did well in terms of rebounding, collecting 34 total rebounds, including eight offensive and 26 defensive boards. They also logged two more turnovers than their opponents, which allowed the Liberty to convert to 13 points.

Why Bet on the New York Liberty?

The New York Liberty forces a Game 4 following their impressive Game 3 victory. The team can start getting things back on track since losing back-to-back games to the defending champions. As a team, the Liberty average 82.8 points on 42.2% shooting and allow 85.4 points on 45.5% shooting. These figures might not be as attractive as their opponents, but you must remember that New York is the only team that can put the Aces under immense pressure.

Jonquel Jones led her team to their first series win, scoring 27 points, eight rebounds, and three assists. Breanna Stewart is the only other player to score 20 points from the Liberty lineup, ending her night with 20 points, a team-high 12 rebounds, and our assists. Sabrina Ionescu had a relatively quiet scoring night but led her team in assists with 11 dishes to go with three boards and nine points. Courtney Vandersloot and Betnijah Laney combined for 24 points, 10 rebounds, and eight assists.

New York ended their night shooting 52.4% from the field and 43.3% from downtown. They had a testing night from the line at 50.0% but made up for the deficit elsewhere. Moreover, the Liberty played beautiful basketball and recorded an incredible 28 assists that night

Liberty vs. Aces Betting Trends

The Aces are 4-1 in their last five playoff contests.
Las Vegas is 2-3 in their last five postseason appearances.
The totals have gone over in two of Las Vegas’ last five playoff games.
The Liberty are 2-3 against the spread in their last five playoff appearances.
New York won three of their last five postseason contests.
The totals have gone over in four of New York’s last five postseason games.

Liberty vs. Aces Expert Betting Prediction

The Liberty should give another similar effort to force the series tie. They have to make the most of home advantage to keep their championship hopes alive. With the Aces losing a bit of pace in this series, New York can start making up ground in Game 4. We’ve seen vulnerable sides to Las Vegas in Game 3, which their opponents could further expose. A victory is not off the table for the hosts. Covering the spread is also more than doable looking at their recent performance. We’d like to see this Aces vs. Liberty series going neck-and-neck from here on.

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