Alabama vs. Kansas State 2022 Sugar Bowl Odds, Preview & Pick

By Hank Blaine • December 28, 2022

The Alabama Crimson Tide didn’t stamp their ticket to the College Football Playoff. The Tide did land a top bowl berth, though. Bama takes on Big 12 titlist Kansas State in the 2022 Sugar Bowl in New Orleans on Saturday. The Tide shows up a -6.5 favorite to beat the Wildcats. Will Alabama end their season with a bowl victory? Or will K-State put a stamp on an already championship season?

Before everything else, NitroBetting arms you with everything you need to kick things off on a positive note. Below, we provide event details, team andplayer statistics, and the latest NCAAF odds. More than that, we go the extra mile and share timely betting trends and predictions that help you secure the best picks. Check out for more sports betting odds and lines, exclusively at our online Bitcoin sportsbook.

Alabama vs. Kansas State 2022 Sugar Bowl Game Information

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— Allstate Sugar Bowl (@SugarBowlNola) December 27, 2022

When: Saturday, Dec. 31 at 12:00 pm ET
Where: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
TV: ESPN
Radio: WBNS-FM 97.1 (Alabama) // 95.5 WSB (Kansas State)

Live Stream

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College Footall Odds: Alabama (-6.5) // Kansas State (+6.5)

Why Bet on the Alabama Crimson Tide?

Bryce Young won the 2021 Heisman Trophy. This season, he suffered through a shoulder injury that affected his overall performance.

Young is healthy enough to play in the Sugar Bowl and has decided to suit up. Young will hand the ball off to Jahmyr Gibbs, one of the best running backs in the nation. Young, when he was healthy, and Gibbs, are the reasons the Tide averaged over 40 points per game.

Young won’t opt-out and neither will Bama’s top defensive player. Most believe Will Anderson is the NFL’s number one draft pick.

Anderson led Bama with 10 sacks. He’s a great defensive end. Because of Anderson’s efforts, the Tide held opponents to 186 passing yards per game.

Why Bet on the Kansas State Wildcats?

Starting quarterback Will Howard doesn’t have a great completion percentage at 61.6%. The reason is because Howard throws away a lot of balls.

Will tossed 15 TDs to just 2 interceptions in 164 attempts. Howard took over for Adrian Martinez in the win against Baylor after Martinez suffered a leg injury.

Deuce Vaughn is the key to the offense. K-State’s RB1 averages 5.3 yards per carry. The Wildcats averaged 209.6 rushing yards per game and over 33 points each contest.

K-State’s defense allowed 20.1 points per game. The Wildcats didn’t always keep teams off the scoreboard.

But there were games where the D stepped up big time. Oklahoma State laid a goose egg, Iowa State scored just 9, and Baylor scored a field goal.

Felix Anudike led the team with 8.5 sacks. Julius Brents had 3 picks.

Alabama vs. Kansas State Betting Trends

Crimson Tide is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games.
Alabama is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0-1 in Alabama’s last 5 bowl games.
Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at a neutral site.
Kansas State is 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous contest.
Over is 4-1 in Kansas State’s last 5 following a straight up win.

Alabama vs. Kansas State Expert Betting Predictions

Both of Alabama’s star players will suit up and throw down, but for how long? Will Anderson has one-foot out the door. So motivation may not be there.

Bryce Young saw what happened to Grace McCall when he played for Coastal Carolina in the Chanticleers’ bowl game. McCall got hurt.

Young won’t take the chance of getting hurt no matter what his head coach says. Also, even if Young plays, he must throw the ball to freshman wide receivers because Bama’s starters have opted-out.

K-State shows no opt-outs on their side. Another positive note for the Wildcats is that head coach Chris Kleiman has a plan to use Adrian Martinez if Martinez is healthy enough to play.

The former Nebraska QB is a top dual-threat. So mixing it up with Martinez and Howard could lead to success against a Bama defense that allows over 125 yards rushing each game.

Only one thing motivates Alabama, conference and national titles. K-State will be all out to win this. Taking the points makes sense.

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*All stated odds are subject to change without prior notice.