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Miami Dolphins 2023 NFL Season Betting Guide

By Hank Blaine

On paper, it looks like the Miami Dolphins can win the Super Bowl. Not only did the Fins make the playoffs last season, but they were a play or two away from knocking the Buffalo Bills out of the NFL postseason. In 2023, Miami and their fans expect nothing short of another run to the AFC Playoffs. Will the Fins get it done? See below for our take in this Miami Dolphins 2023 NFL Season Betting Guide.

Miami Dolphins 2023 NFL Season Betting Predictions

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Miami Dolphins 2023 NFL Schedule

  • NFL Week 1: at Los Angeles Chargers — 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS)
  • NFL Week 2: at New England Patriots — 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)
  • NFL Week 3: vs. Denver Broncos — 1:00 p.m. ET (CBS)
  • NFL Week 4: at Buffalo Bills — 1:00 p.m. ET (CBS)
  • NFL Week 5: vs. New York Giants — 1:00 p.m. ET (FOX)
  • NFL Week 6: vs. Carolina Panthers — 1:00 p.m. ET (CBS))
  • NFL Week 7: at Philadelphia Eagles — 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)
  • NFL Week 8: vs. New England Patriots — 1:00 p.m. ET (CBS)
  • NFL Week 9: at Kansas City Chiefs — 9:30 a.m. ET (NFLN)
  • NFL Week 10: BYE
  • NFL Week 11: vs. Las Vegas Raiders — 1:00 p.m. ET (CBS)
  • NFL Week 12: at New York Jets — 3:00 p.m. ET (Prime Video)
  • NFL Week 13: at Washington Commanders — 1:00 p.m. ET (FOX)
  • NFL Week 14: vs. Tennessee Titans — 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)
  • NFL Week 15: vs. New York Jets — 1:00 p.m. ET (CBS)
  • NFL Week 16: vs. Dallas Cowboys — 4:25p.m. ET (FOX)
  • NFL Week 17: at Baltimore Ravens — 1:00 p.m. ET (CBS)
  • NFL Week 18: vs. Buffalo Bills — TBD (TBD)

Miami Dolphins 2023 Straight-Up Overview

Miami’s success rests on Tua Tagovailoa’s shoulders. If Tua suffers another concussion, he had two last season, his NFL career is over. But if Tua doesn’t suffer a concussion, or any injuries, the Dolphins could win Super Bowl 58.

Tua’s healthy is priority number one. To protect their star quarterback, head coach Mike McDaniel has spent a lot of time this offseason to get Tagovailoa to understand the offense’s nuances.

Tagovailoa insists he has fully grasped the offense and, therefore, shouldn’t be in as many situations that could lead to injuries. If it’s true, the Dolphins should field one of the NFL’s best offenses.

Miami boasts a legit offensive player of the year candidate in Tyreek Hill. Jaylen Waddle, Tyreek’s wide receiving mate, would be the WR1 on most any other team.

Both Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson Jr. can carry the load. So the offense is ready to drop points onto Miami’s opponents.

The defense is also solid. The Fins acquired Jalen Ramsey to play cornerback. Ramsey is one of the best cover corners in the league. He is so good at shutting down receivers that Jalen’s presence will allow Miami’s defensive coaches to do many more things this season than they did last season.

Xavien Howard is on the other side, which means two of the best corners in the NFL play for the same team. Howard and Ramsey will keep opposing quarterbacks honest and provide time for ends Christian Wilkins and Emanuel Ogbah to rush passers and collapse the pocket.

Head coach Mike McDaniel did few things wrong in 2022. He should have kept Tua on the bench after the first concussion, but other than that, McDaniel performed well in his rookie season as a head coach.

Miami may not win the AFC East but they should make the playoffs. The Dolphins lose 6 games this season.

Miami Dolphins 2023 SU Record Prediction: 11-6

Miami Dolphins 2023 Against the Spread Overview

Miami posted the same against the spread record after week 18 as they did straight up record, 9- 8. We should expect the Dolphins to be better ATS in 2023.

The Fins’ AFC East opponents are decent teams. So Miami will face softer spreads against the Bills, Jets, and Patriots. Instead of 9-8, let’s go 10-7.

Miami Dolphins ATS Record Prediction: 10-7

Miami Dolphins 2023 Over/Under Overview

In 2022, Miami games went 8-9 over to under. Oddsmakers knew how good the Fin’s offense was. So lines makers set close to perfect totals.

This season, we should expect more of the same. Oddsmakers know that Miami will rack up yards and should get plenty of points. The Dolphins over to under record ends 9-8.

Miami Dolphins 2023 Over/Under Record Prediction: 9-8

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READ MORE: Miami Dolphins 2023 Season Win/Loss Total