New Mexico State vs. Bowling Green 2022 Quick Lane Bowl Odds, Preview & Pick

By Hank Blaine • December 23, 2022

New Mexico State takes on Bowling Green in the Quick Lane Bowl on Monday in what oddsmakers expect to be a competitive affair. Oddsmakers have installed Bowling Green the -3.5 chalk. Will the Falcons grab the win and cover? Or will the Aggies take home the Quicken Lane Bowl trophy?

Before everything else, NitroBetting arms you with everything you need to kick things off on a positive note. Below, we provide event details, team andplayer statistics, and the latest NCAAF odds. More than that, we go the extra mile and share timely betting trends and predictions that help you secure the best picks. Check out for more sports betting odds and lines, exclusively at our online Bitcoin sportsbook.

New Mexico State vs. Bowling Green 2022 Quick Lane Bowl Game Information

The @NMStateFootball Aggies & the @BG_Football Falcons have arrived in Detroit for the @quicklanebowl ???????? pic.twitter.com/NhN3hNsoyK
— Bowl Season (@BowlSeason) December 23, 2022

When: Monday, Dec. 26 at 2:30 pm ET
Where: Ford Field, Detroit, MI/li>
TV: ESPN
Radio: Zia Country 99.5 FM (New Mexico State) // WFRO Eagle 99 (Bowling Green)

Live Stream

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College Footall Odds: New Mexico State (+3.5) // Bowling Green (-3.5)

Why Bet on the New Mexico State Aggies?

On paper, New Mexico State averaged 25 points per game. In reality, the Aggies’ offense turned into a blitzkrieg like unit towards the end of the regular season.

In their last game, New Mexico State scored 65 in a win over Valparaiso. The Aggies scored 51 in a victory over Lamar and in the most impressive output by the offense, 49 points in a win over Liberty.

The offense averages don’t do justice to how well the unit played at the end of the regular season. Dual-threat QB Diego Pavia threw 3 TD passes against Liberty. Pavia also rushed 20 times for 125 yards and scored 3 rushing touchdowns. No doubt that on Dec. 26, New Mexico State will lean on Pavia to rack up points versus Bowling Green.

The Aggies give up points, 24.3, but based on yardage against averages, New Mexico State’s D performed well. Opponents averaged just 343.3 total yards versus New Mexico State’s D. The Aggies allowed less than 185 yards passing each contest. Lazarus Williams led the teams in sacks with 6.5.

Why Bet on the Bowling Green Falcons?

The Falcons didn’t send one of the better offenses in the MAC to the field. Bowling Green averaged just 23.8 points per game.

Quarterback Matt McDonald averaged 236.8 passing yards each contest. Running back Jaison Patterson led the team with 560 rushing yards total. The Falcons averaged just 101 rushing yards each game.

The Falcons fielded a bad defense. The Falcons allowed over 33 points per game. Opponents averaged 420.7 total yards each matchup. A positive is that Karl Brooks had 9.5 sacks. DJ Taylor had 2 picks. Overall, the defense produced 9 takeaways.

New Mexico State vs. Bowling Green Betting Trends

Aggies are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games.
New Mexico State is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous.
Over is 4-0 in New Mexico State’s last 4 games.
Falcons are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 non-conference games.
Bowling Green is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games.
Over is 5-0 in Bowling Green’s last 5 bowl games.

New Mexico State vs. Bowling Green Expert Betting Predictions

For Bowling Green, this isn’t a good matchup. New Mexico State quarterback Diego Pavia averages 5.6 rushing yards per carry. Pavia isn’t a great passer. But the Falcons allow a ridiculous 163 rushing yards per game. So Diego won’t have to pass the ball much.

The odds give Bowling Green the benefit of the doubt because the Falcons play in the Midwestern Athletic Conference. But MAC teams often don’t have the speed to hang with teams closer to California.

That could be the case here. Also, New Mexico State went 5-1 ATS in their final 5 games while Bowling Green went 1-3 ATS in their final 4 contests. The Aggies should at least cover the spread and an outright victory isn’t out of the question.

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*All stated odds are subject to change without prior notice.