North Carolina vs. Wake Forest 2022 College Football Week 11 Odds, Preview & Pick

By Hank Blaine • November 10, 2022

It’s a massive ACC clash in Winston-Salem on Saturday night when the Wake Forest Demon Deacons host the North Carolina Tar Heels. The Deacons and the Heels both rank in the top 25 on the College Football Playoff Rankings. If UNC wins, the Tar Heels take another step towards the ACC Championship. The Deacons hope to add a loss to North Carolina’s record and will cross their fingers that the Heels lose another game before the end of the season.

Before everything else, NitroBetting arms you with everything you need to kick things off on a positive note. Below, we provide event details, team and player statistics, and the latest NCAAF odds. More than that, we go the extra mile and share timely betting trends and predictions that help you secure the best picks. Check out for more sports betting odds and lines, exclusively at our online Bitcoin sportsbook.

North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Game Information

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— Wake Forest Football (@WakeFB) November 8, 2022

When: Saturday, November 12, 2022, 7:30 PM ET
Where: Truist Field, Winston-Salem, NC
TV: ESPN2
Radio: 97.9 The Hill WCHL (North Carolina) // WBRF 98.1 FM (Wake Forest)
Live Stream: Watch ESPN
College Footall Odds: North Carolina (+3.5) // Wake Forest (-3.5)

Why Bet on the North Carolina Tar Heels?

Most college football fans thought the Heels’ offense would take a backward step this season. Quarterback Sam Howell had moved to the NFL. Howell was a Heisman Trophy contender in his final season.

But instead of crying about Howell’s upward mobility, coach Mack Brown handed the reigns to Drake Maye. The new starter has been nothing short of brilliant. Maye completes over 71% of his passes. He’s thrown for 2,964 yards and 31 touchdowns to just 3 interceptions. Not only is Maye a magician through the air, but he’s also a fantastic rusher. UNC’s QB leads the team in rushing yards with 513. The Tar Heels’ offense averages over 40 points per game.

Based on stats, North Carolina doesn’t play defense. Opponents average over 31 points each contest. The 31 points happen because the Heels give up 277.6 passing yards and over 180 rushing yards per game. The defense is downright bad, allowing 28 points to Virginia, 35 to Duke, 45 to Notre Dame, and 61 to Appalachian State this season.

Why Bet on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons?

Sam Hartman, a preseason Heisman Trophy contender, leads one of the ACC’s better offenses. The Demon Deacons average 36.9 points per game from 431.9 total yards each matchup.

Earlier in the season, Wake’s offense was playing better than it has in recent games. The Deacons dropped 45 onto Clemson in an overtime loss, Wake scored 45 against Army in a 35-point win, and scored 37 against ranked Liberty.

Unlike North Carolina, Wake Forest has a decent defense. The Deacons allow 27.3 points per game from 373.6 yards. Outside of allowing Clemson to drop 51 and Louisville to score 48, the defense has played well. Rondell Bothroyd has 6 sacks on the season while the Demons have 5 takeaways.

North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Betting Trends

Tar Heels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 following an ATS loss.
North Carolina is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Over is 6-2 in the Tar Heels’ last 8 games following an ATS loss.
Demon Deacons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games on field turf.
Wake Forest is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
Under is 4-1 in Wake Forest’s last 5.

North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Expert Betting Predictions

This is a tough game to handicap because neither team has a great defense. But although neither team will win this game because of their defense, Wake’s D has an edge. Louisville is on fire. So the Cardinals scoring 48 against the Deacons makes sense. UNC allowing Virginia to score 28 doesn’t.

When it comes to the offenses, UNC’s is slightly better on paper. However, Sam Hartman leads his team against North Carolina on his field. Hartman is due for some luck after the Deacons scored just 21 points against Louisville and NC State in the last 2 games. If Sam and the offense get back on track, Wake should cover the spread. The guess here is that’s exactly what happens.

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*All stated odds are subject to change without prior notice.