Paris Saint-Germain takes on Real Madrid in Spain on Wednesday in what should be the most competitive Champions League Round of 16 match of the season. PSG has a 1 goal lead over Real. But the venue changes and Real is at full strength while Paris figures to be without their best player. Will PSG close the door on Real? Or will the team from La Liga get it done and move to the CL quarterfinals? Check out the latest Champions League odds, analysis, and a free pick for Paris Saint-Germain versus Real Madrid.
Real Madrid vs. PSG 2022 Champions League Round of 16 Info
- When: Wednesday, March 9 at 3:00 pm ET
- Where: Santiago Bernabeau, Madrid, Spain
- TV: CBS
- Live Stream: Paramount+
- Soccer Odds: Real Madrid (+147) / PSG (+166) / Draw (+279)
Why is Real Madrid a safe bet to win?
Real’s first leg loss to Paris Saint-Germain happened when Madrid wasn’t playing their best soccer. Leading up to the match, Real had lost to Athletic Club in a Copa del Rey match, had beaten overmatched Granada by a single goal, and had drawn 0-0 with Villareal. Heading into the second leg, Real is on a 3-match winning streak. The 4-1 victory over Sociedad highlights a great run where Real has won their last 3 by a combined 8 goals to 1.
Real Madrid’s Last 5
- Win – 4-1 vs. Real Sociedad
- Win – 0-1 vs. Rayo Vallecano
- Win – 3-0 vs. Alaves
- Loss – 0-1 vs. Paris Saint-Germain
- Draw – 0-0 vs. Villareal
Why is PSG a safe bet to win?
Although Kylian Mbappe won’t play, Paris Saint-Germain remains a more talented squad than Real Madrid. Lionel Messi, Angel Di Maria, Neymar, and Georginio Wijnaldum will more than make up for Mbappe’s absence. Not only that, but Paris controlled the pace in the first match. PSG had possession 57% of the time. Paris is ready to move to the quarterfinals.
PSG’s Last 5
- Loss – 1-0 vs. Nice
- Win – 3-1 vs. Saint-Etienne
- Loss – 3-1 vs. Nantes
- Win – 1-0 vs. Real Madrid
- Win – 1-0 vs. Stade Rennais
Real Madrid vs. PSG Betting Prediction
Paris is more than capable of getting by Real without Mbappe. Although having their best player on the pitch no doubt would help the cause, Messi, Neymar, and Di Maria form a seriously talented group of strikers.
All PSG must do is play Neymar more than usual to strike fear into Real’s defense. But even though Paris has a shot, the home team is the play. Real Madrid is on fire. Carlo Ancelotti has finally gotten Real to gel. In their last, RM was dynamite versus one of the very best teams in La Liga, Sociedad.
In that match, Benzema, Asensio, Modric and Camavinga scored goals. What makes Real so dangerous is that Ancelotti can bring Marcelo and Mariano, or any of the four mentioned players, off the bench.
He can also run the offense through Junior or Rodrygo or bring those two players off the bench. Ancelotti may not have a better starting 11, but he has the deeper pine. This happens on Real’s pitch. So give Madrid the nod. They’ll beat Paris Saint-Germain on Wednesday.
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*All stated odds are subject to change without prior notice.