Super Bowl 58 Betting Trends & Stats To Study
Super Bowl sports bettors will be inundated with stats and trends leading up to the February 11 Lombardi Trophy game. Part of being a successful sports bettor is identifying relevant stats and trends. With that in mind, check out the most relevant betting trends along with the most relevant stats you require to make successful Super Bowl 58 wagers.
What Trends & Stats Should You Consider for Super Bowl 58?
Six years as a starter, four trips to the Super Bowl. #SBLVIII pic.twitter.com/uEbmmQjMxq
— NFL (@NFL) January 29, 2024
Top Trend to Know Before Betting On Super Bowl 58 – Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in their last 5
Starting in NFL Week 17, the Chiefs turned it on big time. Kansas City began to beat up opponents with their offense and defense. Check out the scores for KC’s five games before Super Bowl 58.
- W – 25-17 vs Bengals
- W – 13-12 at Chargers
- W – 26-7 vs Dolphins
- W – 27-24 at Bills
- W – 17-10 at Ravens
The win over the Chargers came while KC rested their starters. The victories over the Dolphins, Bills, and Ravens were playoff games. The Chiefs are hot. Don’t ignore that fact when you handicap Super Bowl 58.
Second Trend to Know Before Betting On Super Bowl 58 – 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5
While the Chiefs are hot against the spread, the 49ers for sure aren’t. The Niners struggled to cover spreads against the Ravens and Rams in 2 of their final 3 regular season games.
Then the 49ers failed to cover the spread against either the Packers or the Lions. The lone cover came against the hapless Washington Commanders in NFL Week 17.
But before writing off the Niners to cover. It’s important to note that in the NFC Championship, San Francisco dominated the second half. So if the 49ers carry momentum from the second half into the SB, who knows? Still, a 1-4 ATS record heading into the Super Bowl isn’t ideal.
Other Trends to Know Before Betting On Super Bowl 58
- Over is 4-2 ATS in San Francisco’s last 6 games
- KC has hit the 4Q game total under in 18 of their last 20
San Francisco’s defense isn’t stopping many offenses. The total in the Super Bowl is 47.5, which seems doable. Also, KC has hit the fourth quarter game total in 18-of-20 games, which means Andy Reid picks up the pace with his play calling, and the Chiefs move the football in the fourth quarter.
Top Stats to Know Before Betting On Super Bowl 58
- San Francisco gave up 182 rushing yards to Detroit
- Kansas City allowed Buffalo to rush for 182 yards
Both teams are vulnerable to the rush, which means the San Francisco and Kansas City defenses may have to put an extra man in the box. If that happens, Brock Purdy and Patrick Mahomes could light it up. Take that into consideration when thinking of your over/under bets.
Other Stats to Know Before Betting On Super Bowl 58
- Travis Kelce has a combined 16 catches for 191 yards and 3 TDS in KC’s last 2 games
- Brock Purdy threw for 174 yards and a TD and rushed for 48 yards in the second half versus the Lions
Mahomes to Kelce is on fire. San Francisco should have a plan to cover Kelce, but Patrick and Travis are playing so well, it may not matter. So when considering your player props, for sure, look to Kelce to have a big Super Bowl.
Also, consider backing Purdy on racking up passing yards and rushing yards. Purdy rushed for 48 in a single half versus the Lions, which boasts one of the league’s top rushing defenses. At some point, Spagnuolo is going to have to decide whether to stop SF’s rush or stop SF’s pass. Either way, Purdy could be a winner on yardage props.
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*All stated odds are subject to change without prior notice.READ MORE: Super Bowl 58 Bets Nobody Should Make
