Super Bowl LVII Bets You Shouldn’t Make
The Super Bowl is the greatest sports betting day of the year. One of the reasons is because in addition to traditional football bets like against the spread, over or under the total, and moneyline plays, there are a plethora of prop bets we can make on the Lombardi Trophy game. But not all prop bets are equal. So to ensure we don’t lose the rent money, check out the NFL prop bets we should stay away from heading into the big game.
A Closer Look at the Super Bowl LVII You Should Avoid
READ MORE: Super Bowl LVII MVP Odds & Picks
Any non-football related prop
It’s fun to bet on things like the coin toss, what color dress or suit the person who sings the National Anthem will wear, which color Gatorade ends up on the winning coach, and wether or not Patrick Mahomes will have his eyes closed during the anthem.
But although those are fun props to bet, they’re difficult to hit and, more importantly, they have nothing to do with football. We’re football handicappers. So we should stick to playing football related props.
Player props that offers ridiculously low payouts for a ton of risk
Whether your playing Super Bowl props or making a traditional bet, value remains the single most important factor. So, yes, everyone knows Patrick Mahomes will throw for at least 200 yards, but should we lay something crazy like -600 to make $100 on Mahomes to do it?
We shouldn’t. What happens if Patrick comes up injured on the first or second play? What happens if the Chiefs build a 21-point lead after Isaiah Pacheco takes it to the house in KC’s first three possessions?
Betting props that require you to envision what happens in the second half before the first half ends
We can bet on which team wins every quarter and which teams wins each half. We can even bet on the total for each quarter and each half.
Why, though, would anyone make a third quarter or fourth quarter prop bet without knowing what happened in the first and second quarters? Like betting on the color of Gatorade, trying to envision what happens in the first quarter and second quarter so you can make a winning third quarter prop bet makes no sense.
Home run options for Super Bowl MVP
Since 2010, quarterbacks have won Super Bowl MVP nine times from thirteen games. Wide receivers, Julian Edelman with New England in 2019 and Cooper Kupp with the Rams last year, have won twice.
Defensive player Von Miller won the MVP in 2016 when Denver beat Carolina. Two years prior, Seattle Seahawks linebacker Malcolm Smith won the 2014 Super Bowl MVP when Seattle blasted the Denver Broncos 43-8.
But although Edelman, Kupp, Smith, and Miller won SB MVP, we can only consider Malcolm Smith a home run option.
Kupp, Edelman, and Miller were in the second tier of options. So if you decide not to go with Mahomes or Hurts, back AJ Brown, Devonta Smith, Travis Kelce, or Juju Smith-Schuster.
Can a defensive player win the award ala Miller or Smith? Sure, but it’s not likely considering the talent on offense the Eagles and Chiefs possess. Home run options don’t often win Super Bowl MVP.
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