Top Tennis Betting Picks of the Week – March 4th, 2024

On Thursday, Round 1 for one of the top non-major tennis tournaments of the season goes first serve when the best in the world head to Indian Wells for the 2024 BNP Paribas Open. Earlier this week, players qualified for tournaments, which is why the first round begins later in the week. Check out tennis odds, analysis, and free picks for six of this Thursday’s most intriguing first round matches.

Top Tennis Betting Picks of the Week (March 4th, 2024)

The world’s top players head to Indian Wells, California for the first ATP Masters 1000 action of the 2024 season at the BNP Paribas Open. @emirates | #ATPScoutingReport | #partner

— ATP Tour (@atptour) March 5, 2024

ATP – 2024 BNP Paribas Open Round 1 – Indian Wells, CA

• When: Thursday, March 7th, 2024

Rafael Nadal vs. Milos Raonic

The great Rafa Nadal hasn’t been as lockdown city the past two ATP Seasons. Injuries, and age possibly, have finally caught up to Nadal. But Rafa is a solid -196 pick to get to Milos Raonic.

Raonic has been steadier in his play. They must consider that oddsmakers expect money to fly to Nadal because of name recognition, which means at +149, Raonic is an overlay.

Tennis Betting Pick: Milos Raonic +149

Jaume Munar vs. Alex Michelsen

Munar is 6-5 in singles matches this season. The underdog in this made it to the Movistar Chile Open quarterfinals, falling to 2-seed Sebastian Baez.

Michelsen is 6-6 in singles matches. The 19-year-old American is supposed to be the next big thing, but he could struggle in this. The odds make the dog more than playable.

Tennis Betting Pick: Jaume Munar +198

Max Purcell vs. Gael Monfils

Underdog Purcell has made his money this season winning doubles titles. Purcell already has scored two. When it comes to singles matches, Max has struggled, going 4-7 this season.

Monfils is just 5-6 this season, though. Not only that, but Gael failed against Ugo Humbert in the first round at the Dubai Duty Free in his last. At +3.5 and a decent payout, Purcell is the play.

Tennis Betting Pick: Max Purcell +3.5 -106

WTA – 2024 BNP Paribas Open Round 1 – Indian Wells, CA

• When: Thursday, March 7th, 2024

Sara Errani vs. Naomi Osaka

It’s tough to back Naomi in any match nowadays. Osaka played well in her last, making it all the way to the quarterfinals at the Qatar Total Energies Open before losing to veteran Karolina Pliskova.

Sara Errani qualified for the BNP by beating Arina Rodionova and Aleksandra Krunic in straight sets. Errani is playing decent enough tennis to warrant a look to upset the chalk.

Tennis Betting Pick: Sara Errani +229

Sofia Kenin vs. Viktoriya Tomova

Tomova has gone 7-8 this season. She’s a 29 year old from Bulgaria who bowed out of the first round at the Dubai Duty Free in her last.

But although Tomova is the underdog in this, Sofia Kenin is playing as badly as she has her entire career. Kenin is a terrible 1-6 in singles matches this season. The former U.S. Open Champion doesn’t have it.

Tennis Betting Pick: Viktoriya Tomova +126

Mayar Sherif vs. Sloane Stephens

Tomova has gone 7-8 this season. She’s a 29 year old from Bulgaria who bowed out of the first round at the Dubai Duty Free in her last.

But although Tomova is the underdog in this, Sofia Kenin is playing as badly as she has her entire career. Kenin is a terrible 1-6 in singles matches this season. The former U.S. Open Champion doesn’t have it.

Tennis Betting Pick: Sloane Stephens -6 -102

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READ MORE: Top Tennis Betting Picks of the Week – March 11th, 2024