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Wisconsin vs. Arizona State 2021 Las Vegas Bowl Odds, Preview & Pick

By Hank Blaine

On Dec. 30, Big Ten squad Wisconsin makes the trip to Las Vegas to take on Pac-12 team Arizona State in the 2021 Las Vegas Bowl. Neither team accomplished what they wished during the regular season. Both teams should hit the gridiron ready to end the season on a positive note. Wisconsin is the -6.5 favorite, but ASU has a shorter trip to Vegas. Can the Sun Devils keep the game close enough for at least an ATS victory? Keep reading for NCAAF odds, analysis, and a free pick for Wisconsin versus Arizona State.

Wisconsin vs. Arizona State 2021 Las Vegas Bowl Game Information

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Why Bet on the Wisconsin Badgers?

The Badgers started slow, but once they got it going, they became one of the best rushing teams in the nation. Wisconsin averages 215.3 rushing yards per game. RB1 Braelon Allen, rumbled for 1,109 yards and a 7.1 per carry average. Allen scored 12 rushing touchdowns. He became unstoppable as the season continued.

But although Allen became the focal point, Wisconsin isn’t a one-dimensional offense. Quarterback Graham Mertz threw for 1,821 yards. Mertz hit his stride in the middle of the season, completing at least 66% of his passes in 3 straight victories against Rutgers, Northwestern, and Nebraska.

Like Wisconsin’s offense, the Badgers’ defense developed into one of the top units in college football. Based on yards allowed per game, Wisconsin’s D is the best in the nation. The Badgers allow 241.4 total yards per game, ranking first. Opposing team score just 16.4 points per against Wisconsin. The Badgers have 15 takeaways on the season.

Why Bet on the Arizona State Sun Devils?

ASU fields one of the Pac-12’s top offenses. The Sun Devils average 403.4 yards per game. The Devils are particularly effective rushing the ball. Rachaad White rushed for 1,000 yards. He scored 15 touchdowns. White’s the main reason the Sun Devils average over 200 yards rushing per game. ASU quarterback Jayden Daniels completes over 66% of his passes. If Wisconsin shuts down the run game, Daniels has the ability to lead the Devils’ offense.

The Sun Devils’ defense isn’t as dominant as Wisconsin’s. But it does a good job containing the opposing offense. Teams average just 20.9 points versus Arizona State. The Sun Devils are terrific at taking the ball away. ASU has 18 takeaways, ranking third in the nation. Jack Jones leads the takeaway brigade with 3 picks.

Wisconsin vs. Arizona State Betting Trends

  • Badgers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 bowl games.
  • Wisconsin is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games as a favorite.
  • Under is 5-1 in Wisconsin’s last 6 games in December.
  • Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games.
  • Arizona State is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
  • Under is 8-0 in Arizona State’s last 8 non-conference games.

Wisconsin vs. Arizona State Expert Betting Predictions

This is a tough game to handicap. Both teams rely on strong rushing attacks and solid defenses. The difference is that Wisconsin’s defense can flat out lock down on opponents. Teams struggle to move the football versus the Badgers.

Not only that, but on offense, Wisconsin has the better running back. ASU employs a running back by committee approach. White is their star RB, but he doesn’t get all the carries. Expect Badgers’ running back Braelon Allen to get into a rhythm. Once he does, ASU’s offense will have trouble stopping him from controlling this game.

The Sun Devils have a good defense, but it allows 131 rushing yards each contest. Allen should have no trouble averaging 4 to 5 yards per carry, which is the main reason the Badgers are the pick against the spread.

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*All stated odds are subject to change without prior notice.