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Yankees vs. Blue Jays MLB Odds, Preview and Prediction – September 27, 2023

By Hank Blaine

The New York Yankees are simply playing out the string as they will miss the playoffs for the first time since 2016, but they could potentially help keep the Blue Jays from earning an AL wild card spot as they meet in Toronto on Wednesday with lock 2023 AL Cy Young winner Gerrit Cole on the mound for New York.

Nitrobetting checks out the game in this preview. Get a complete look at the game information, team and player statistics, and the latest MLB odds. We also deliver timely betting trends and predictions that help you secure the best picks.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Game Information

  • When: Wednesday, September 27, 2023, 7:05 PM ET
  • Where: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
  • TV: AmazonPV, Sportsnet
  • Radio: 680 The Fan (Yankees) // WJFK-FM 106.7 (Blue Jays)
  • Live Stream: MLB.tv
  • MLB Odds: Yankees (-109) // Blue Jays (-112)

Why bet on the New York Yankees?

The only carrot for the Yankees this week is to avoid finishing with a losing record for the first time since 1992. Will Manager Aaron Boone be back with New York next season? It seems unlikely. Boone took over the Yankees ahead of the 2018 campaign and became the first manager in MLB history to win 100 or more games in each of his first two seasons but someone has to pay for this season gone wrong.

“I don’t worry about it,” said Boone of next season. “It’s out of my hands. I’m completely comfortable with who I am and the things I can control. In my mind, I’m doing everything to head into the offseason prepared to put us in a better position to try and compete for a championship. That’s what the goal is, and until they take that away, that’s my focus.”

Boone does have one more year on his contract — the Yankees have a history of letting managers reach the end of their contracts. They have not made a managerial move mid-contract since Stump Merrill was replaced by Buck Showalter in 1991. Several players have been shut down already. Aaron Judge hasn’t yet, but he got Tuesday’s game off as his toe injury isn’t 100 percent. I’d expect him back Wednesday as the Yankees don’t want to lie down for a division rival.

Judge was named the American League “Player of the Week” on Monday after batting .529/.619/1.235 (9-for-17) with 4R, 3 doubles, 3HR, 8RBI and 4BB in five games from 9/18-24. He led the AL in batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, OPS (1.854) and total bases (21), tied for the lead in extra-base hits (six) and was tied for second in home runs. Judge has 35 homers this season despite missing many games. He is just the fourth player in Major League history to hit at least 35HR in a season while playing in 108 games-or-fewer. Judge has hit 32 career home runs vs. the Blue Jays, his second-most against any club (39 HR vs. Baltimore). They are the most by any Yankee vs. the Blue Jays all-time.

Ace Gerrit Cole is on the mound Wednesday and he’s going to win the AL Cy Young Award. Cole (14-4) earned the win last Thursday, allowing one run on just two hits over eight innings against the Blue Jays. He struck out nine. Cole blanked Toronto through seven innings while allowing just one hit before surrendering a run in the eighth on a wild pitch. The 33-year-old has bolstered his Cy Young case down the stretch, going 4-0 with a 1.59 ERA over his last six outings. His ERA is down to 2.75 through 32 starts (200 innings), best in the American League, with a 1.02 WHIP and 217 strikeouts.

Cole owns the lowest ERA in the American League and the second-lowest in the Majors, trailing only San Diego’s Blake Snell. He has allowed 2R-or-fewer in 25 of his 32 starts this season.

Why bet on the Toronto Blue Jays?

The Jays got an important bat back off the injured list Tuesday in lefty Brandon Belt. The veteran slugger landed on the shelf Sept. 12 with back spasms just after missing the previous eight games due to an illness. Belt had a strong start to the second half with a .971 OPS in his first 30 games coming out of the All-Star break, but he was mired in a 3-for-18 slump prior to his move to the injured list. He has 16 HRs on the year.

Jays star Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is a lifetime .285 (78-for-274) hitter against the Yankees, with 16 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs, and 49 RBI in 73 meetings (.862 OPS). Bo Bichette has a career average of .315 vs. New York with 19 doubles, 12 home runs, and 40 RBI (.887 OPS).

It’s Jose Berrios (11-11, 3.58 ERA) on the mound Wednesday. Berrios (11-11) took the loss last Thursday, allowing four runs on seven hits over 5.2 innings against the Yankees. He struck out six. Most of the damage against Berrios came in the first inning on Jake Bauers’ three-run homer. The 29-year-old Berrios had been pitching well coming into Thursday’s appearance, with a 1.80 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his previous three starts (20 innings).

,p>Berrios has faced the Yankees twice this season, giving up 7ER over 12.1 combined innings (13H, BB, 14K). Over 11 career starts vs. New York he has gone 3-6 with a 5.14 ERA (35 ER/61.1 IP) and 70 strikeouts.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Betting Trends

  • Atlanta is 1-5 SU in the last 6 games.
  • Braves are 15-5 SU in its last 20 games against Washington.
  • The total went over in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 games.
  • Washington is 6-14 SU in the last 20 games.
  • Nationals are 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home.
  • The total went under in 5 of Washington’s last 7 games.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Betting Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Yankees 3.

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*All odds stated are subject to change without prior notice.

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