Yankees vs. Mariners MLB Odds, Analysis and Pick – July 7th, 2021

By Carlos Chacon • July 7, 2021

The New York Yankees hit the road to play a three-game series against the Seattle Mariners. Both teams will try to win as many games as they can before the All-Star break begins. As it stands, the Yankees have given up three straight series, while the Mariners look better coming into the game scoring victories in their last six series played.

Expect interesting storylines in this series as they try to make up ground and rack up some wins to finish the regular season with a strong record. With nearly every other American League Wild Card contender struggling to make it back into contention, we are set to encounter one of the hottest series before the break.

That being said, NitroBetting collects all of the information you need to secure the best picks in this Mariners vs. Yankees series. Find valuable data, the latest odds, betting trends, and our very own expert betting predictions. Be sure to check out for our Baseball betting odds and daily sports betting odds and lines at our online Bitcoin sportsbook!

Yankees vs. Mariners Game Information

Got 1⃣2⃣ out west. #SquadUp pic.twitter.com/akugvqmIMc
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) July 7, 2021

When: Wednesday, July 7, 2021, 10:10 PM ET
Where: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington
TV: YES, MLBN
Radio: WFAN, WADO (Yankees) // 710 ESPN Seattle (Mariners)
Live Stream: MLB.tv
MLB Odds: New York Yankees -118

Why bet on the New York Yankees?

The Yankees, despite being an offensive threat on paper, have been mediocre against southpaws on the road this season. The only number that falls out of the 11-20 range for season totals is strikeout rate, which they can use to their advantage come game day. And batted balls tell us more. The offense sports one of the better hit percentages when playing left-handed pitchers.

There’s something about solid contact that we admire, but the Yankees have one of the worst Hard Hit percentages in the same situation. The team’s right-handed hitters should utilize a pitcher that gets under pressure when playing against righties.

There’s also the issue of starting right-handed pitcher Domingo German. After coming back from suspension, German’s strikeout rate dropped by nearly five points from a few years ago. And without the overpowering strikeout rates he produced, we might see less of him in this game. Nonetheless, if he gets more seat time come game day, this is a chance for him to pump up his numbers once again.

Why bet on the Seattle Mariners?

One of the main issues of the Mariners is their offense. Their 91 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers at home ranks 25th in the league, and they are last in HR/FB ratio. Their 19.0 soft hit percentage is just a tad behind the Pirates for worst. However, they have been decent on the offensive side lately, so they should be able to make it work. Playing left-handed pitcher Yusei Kikuchi might play to their beat.

Furthermore, the Mariners have a promising Justus Sheffield striking out two few batters per nine innings since 2019. The 25-year-old pitcher’s home ERA is 5.11, and he more than doubled his season home run total from five to 13 in June. He might just be the Mariners’ saving grace in this series.

Currently, the Mariners are an above -.500 team that lives off one-run games. Their 38-47 expected win-loss record is a testament to that knowing that they are plagued with injuries. It might take a lot for the Mariners to win, but it’s never off the table.

Yankees vs. Mariners MLB Betting Trends

The Mariners are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
The totals have gone over 7 times in the Mariner’s last 10 games.
The Mariners are 2-8 in their last 10 home games against the Yankees.
The Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 road games.
The totals have gone under in 2 of the Yankees’ last 5 games.
The Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Mariners.

Yankees vs. Mariners Series Betting Prediction

In a game that might not feature the best pitchers in the league, the Yankees should be able to have the early advantage over Sheffield. However, the Mariners still have a chance to close some runs off Taillon. There’s a good chance that the Mariners cover, but only if they minimize mistakes. The Yankees are a good pick but do not underestimate what Seattle can bring to the table.

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*All odds stated are subject to change without prior notice.