The 2021-2022 College Basketball Season starts on Tuesday, Nov. 9. Odds are out for the 2022 March Madness Tournament. Gonzaga will enter the season a huge +550 favorite. Back in March, we gave an initial list of odds, with the Zags still as top favorites. Are the Zags an overlay or underlay? Check out the College basketball odds and analysis for the 2021-2022 NCAA Men’s College Basketball Tournament.
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Latest 2022 March Madness Odds
This is the last time everyone will be able to do this…— FOX College Hoops (@CBBonFOX) November 8, 2021
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*As of November 9th, 2021
- Gonzaga +550
- Michigan +800
- UCLA +1000
- Kentucky +1200
- Kansas +1400
- Duke +1400
- Memphis +1400
- Texas +1400
- Villanova +1600
- Purdue +1600
- Alabama +2000
- Baylor +2500
- Illinois +2500
- Florida State +2800
- North Carolina +2800
- Louisville +3000
- Arkansas +3000
- Ohio State +3300
- Houston +3300
- Michigan State +3300
- Texas Tech +4000
- Virginia +4000
- Virginia Tech +4000
- West Virginia +4000
- Oregon +4000
- Syracuse +4000
- LSU +4000
- USC +5000
- Wisconsin +5000
- Creighton +5000
- Auburn +5000
- Maryland +5000
Which among the following four teams offer the most value? Gonzaga, Michigan, UCLA, or Kentucky?
The Zags lost a lot. Joel Ayayi, Jalen Suggs, and Corey Kispert no longer player for Mark Few. Although Gonzaga always recruits well and Drew Timme returns, the schedule never lends itself to success in the NCAA Tournament.
In other words, the Zags are rarely battle-tested. Michigan is a good team and Hunter Dickinson will play. But the Big Ten is loaded, which means, in a contrast to Gonzaga, the Wolverines are always over battle tested when they enter the tournament.
UCLA is also a good team and the Bruins deserve a long look Johnny Juzang should dominate the Pac-12. But the Bruins aren’t much better than Kentucky. After a 9-16 season Coach Calipari recruited three top high school players. Kentucky always recruits top high school talent. But this season, Coach Cal went to the transfer portal. He secured the services of six players who should help Big Blue get back to their winning ways. Among the four, the Kentuck Wildcats are the overlay team to consider.
Which two teams with odds from +1400 to +2500 have the best chances of winning the NCAA Men’s College Basketball Tournament?
Villanova at +1600 and Baylor at +2500 are worth long looks. Nova coach Jay Wright believes he’s got a Final Four squad. Wright doesn’t say anything unless he’s sure. Nova lost a couple of players from last year’s squad, James Earl-Robinson and Cole Swider. Wright has recruited well, but the real reason to love Villanova is because Collin Gillespie returns from an injury.
Baylor lost four of their five best players. But Scott Drew has developed an every year National Championship contender. Baylor is like Duke, Kansas, and Kentucky. The Bears just reload, which Drew has done by recruiting small forward Kendall Brown and transferring guard James Akinjo from Arizona.
Name two teams with odds from +2800 to +3300 that can win the title
We’ll name three: Florida State, Ohio State, and Houston. Among the three FSU looks best. Seminoles coach Leonard Hamilton adds three top freshman to a group that includes Malik Osborne, 7’ 3” JC transfer Naheem McLeod and Kentucky transfer Cam’Ron Fletcher. Houston transfer Caleb Mills is a fantastic guard. The odds on FSU make them an overlay.
Ohio State forward E.J. Liddell decided to return to college. Liddell is a Big Ten Player of the Year candidate, which is saying a lot because the Big Ten is the strongest conference in college basketball. The Buckeyes are also deep.
Kelvin Sampson has built a solid program at Houston. The Cougars will lean on guard Marcus Sasser now that Mills has transferred to Florida State. Taze Moore transfers from Cal-State Bakersfield while Kyler Edwards come over from Texas Tech. Both will immediately help the Cougs win games.
Are there any underdogs at +4000 or higher odds that have a realistic shot to win the NCAA Men’s College Basketball Championship?
At +4000, Virginia Tech is an overlay. Forward Keve Aluma returns. Like E.J. Liddell at Ohio State, Aluma is an ACC Player of the Year candidate, which means a lot. Not only that, but Hokies coach Mike Young convinced 6’ 10” power forward Lynn Kidd to transfer from Clemson.
USC shouldn’t offer odds of +5000. The Trojans lost just two players from last season’s 25-8 team. Isaiah Mobley and Taj Eaddy should ensure USC contends in the Pac-12. If UCLA is third-choice to win the College Basketball National Championship, USC is no worse than a +2800 choice. Consider the Trojans an underdog with a shot.
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*All odds stated are subject to change without prior notice.